NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	7.8 [298]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +32.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	1.7 [269]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -18.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	10	55%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	-0.06	13	42%	0.04	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.05
Gordan Giricek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.02	8	81%	0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.22,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07	-0.11	0.04	-0.00	15	51%	0.21	8	-0.28	11	64%	0.04
Mehmet Okur	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19	-0.10	-0.12	-0.03	14	35%	-0.15	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.05

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.24,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.23	0.02	15	67%	0.42	3	-0.09	13	85%	0.14
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.01	6	87%	0.21	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.07
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.05	-0.01	18	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Schenscher	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	56%	0.06	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	17%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	26.5	14.6	24.5	2.0	36.2	133.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -1.1%

POR +39.0%

UTA -1.2%

POR +14.3%

UTA -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	POR	NBA	UTA	POR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.4	100.0	103.3	104.5
season	15.9	16.7		107.4	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	14.9	16.3	15.4	15.7
POR	15.9	16.4	15.0	18.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	11	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-3	1	19.0	15.2	3.82	16.8	16.3	0.57
Paul Millsap	26	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-1	-3	16.3	15.4	0.93	16.9	16.1	0.85
Matt Harpring	45	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-7	9	15.9	15.4	0.48	16.5	16.2	0.35
Andrei Kirilenko	44	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	2	-9	15.4	15.9	-0.48	16.2	16.5	-0.35
Gordan Giricek	43	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-7	9	16.3	15.1	1.17	16.8	15.9	0.95
Mehmet Okur	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.3	17.5	-2.26	16.5	15.6	0.93
Deron Williams	80	80	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	15.5	16.9	-1.38	16.7	13.6	3.08
Derek Fisher	55	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	5	-15	15.4	16.1	-0.71	15.4	17.9	-2.41
Carlos Boozer	67	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	15.3	16.8	-1.55	15.8	17.9	-2.05

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	50	49	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-10	25	16.0	16.8	-0.76	15.2	16.2	-1.09
Jamaal Magloire	69	66	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.58	4	1	3	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.5	16.2	-0.76
Travis Outlaw	69	66	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-3	11	16.4	16.0	0.45	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	15.8	17.3	-1.46	14.8	17.2	-2.42
Brandon Roy	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-3	11	16.0	17.3	-1.35	15.6	15.7	-0.08
Sergio Rodriguez	33	31	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	17.3	15.8	1.46	17.2	14.8	2.42
Martell Webster	24	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	9	-13	16.7	16.2	0.56	16.8	15.3	1.49
Raef LaFrentz	23	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	8	-11	16.0	16.5	-0.51	15.7	15.6	0.08
Luke Schenscher	21	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.18	-1	6	-7	16.0	16.4	-0.44	16.7	15.3	1.33
Fred Jones	43	42	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.08	-9	14	-23	17.1	15.7	1.43	15.7	15.6	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 80, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,1	93.6%
HOU 102, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.74,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.38,0.37,0.69,0.92,1	92.9%
CHI 101, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.53,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	91.6%