NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	8.8 [142]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +33.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	1.7 [662]		LVP	Lou Williams (PHI): -26.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.02	10	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03	-0.05	0.09	0.01	12	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	8	58%	0.11	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.02
John Salmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Tyrus Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	19	53%	-0.08	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33	0.33	0.21	0.14	0.01	21	70%	0.37	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.11	0.22	0.02	20	60%	0.31	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.10
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	5	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.2	26.5	15.8	23.0	1.8	32.7	125.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +44.3%

PHI +2.3%

PHI +9.6%

CHI -8.7%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.5	107.4	111.8	106.4
season	14.8	15.5		106.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.7		105.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	17.8	15.6	15.2	15.8
PHI	15.4	12.7	17.9	14.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	36	36	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-8	13	14.9	16.4	-1.45	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Tyrus Thomas	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	16.1	15.6	0.50	15.7	14.3	1.31
Brad Miller	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-4	5	15.1	16.7	-1.55	15.1	14.8	0.24
Joakim Noah	62	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	8	-19	17.0	13.5	3.45	14.3	16.2	-1.85
Derrick Rose	83	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-5	7	16.2	12.6	3.59	14.6	18.6	-4.05
Ben Gordon	52	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	2	-7	15.8	15.8	0.04	14.6	15.5	-0.86
Kirk Hinrich	50	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-1	-1	14.7	17.0	-2.33	15.7	14.3	1.40
John Salmons	88	86	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	0	-3	15.8	15.5	0.33	15.4	9.6	5.86

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	70	69	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-9	21	14.2	17.5	-3.36	16.5	14.0	2.52
Willie Green	52	51	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.60	4	-1	5	14.9	15.1	-0.19	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Thaddeus Young	71	70	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.45	6	-3	9	14.6	16.2	-1.62	16.0	15.1	0.92
Samuel Dalembert	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.39	2	1	1	14.7	15.8	-1.11	15.3	17.3	-2.05
Andre Iguodala	79	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	3	-3	15.0	14.8	0.24	15.9	15.5	0.41
Marreese Speights	33	36	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	2	-1	16.3	14.3	1.99	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Reggie Evans	26	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	3	-3	15.0	15.0	0.07	17.0	15.3	1.67
Royal Ivey	20	22	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	11	-19	18.8	13.9	4.85	13.9	16.4	-2.48
Lou Williams	44	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.24	-2	5	-7	14.7	15.3	-0.58	15.7	15.9	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.53,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.37,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.73,1	91.6%
CHA 94, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.73,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.55,0.43,0.81,1	91.1%
SAS 80, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,1	90.7%