inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 101 Excitement10.1 [65] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +85.1%
Denver Nuggets 104 Comeback6.7 [251] LVPCJ McCollum (POR): -24.4%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0.230,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.230.110.09-0.041866%0.293-0.06250%-0.07
Ed Davis0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.090.00656%0.1200.00475%-0.01
Shabazz Napier0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.06-0.00750%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Zach Collins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00487%0.103-0.1000%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.020.040.010.071359%0.092-0.10683%0.01
Pat Connaughton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Evan Turner-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.120.04-0.160.00956%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.06-0.060.001031%-0.1300.00667%-0.00
CJ McCollum-0.240,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.24-0.09-0.15-0.001435%-0.062-0.186100%0.09

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.59,0.59,0.850.850.340.530.011986%0.871-0.026100%0.08
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.210.210.040.160.00769%0.231-0.02250%-0.02
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.04-0.00756%0.082-0.052100%0.01
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.00410%-0.061-0.02250%-0.02
Will Barton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.000.04732%-0.082-0.05887%0.06
Gary Harris0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.050.011441%-0.063-0.08475%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.17-0.17-0.03-0.14-0.00550%0.052-0.222100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.13-0.021739%-0.103-0.09757%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.028.714.627.51.641.0140.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +31.5%
DEN +25.6%
POR -2.4%
POR -5.7%
DEN +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game15.514.314.7103.1109.5107.5
season15.214.7107.8111.2
opponent14.714.3109.9105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.614.216.216.115.5
DEN15.714.012.615.214.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ed Davis41390.34-0.841.170.079-122116.414.91.5415.513.52.01
Shabazz Napier44420.30-0.801.100.184-71115.815.30.4614.813.90.86
Zach Collins41390.03-0.530.55-0.094-71115.215.7-0.5214.014.5-0.47
Pat Connaughton4140-0.00-0.500.50-0.279-122115.415.6-0.2214.514.10.42
Al-Farouq Aminu5553-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-118-1916.314.51.8415.413.02.42
Damian Lillard7875-0.670.17-0.84-0.43-85-1315.714.90.7814.214.8-0.69
CJ McCollum7472-0.670.17-0.85-0.47-74-1115.017.0-1.9613.616.6-2.98
Evan Turner5959-0.730.23-0.96-0.53-74-1115.315.9-0.6314.114.7-0.58
Jusuf Nurkic5756-0.760.26-1.02-0.52-85-1314.916.4-1.5413.515.5-2.01

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mason Plumlee60590.80-0.301.110.5110-71713.216.1-2.9115.415.7-0.29
Will Barton69730.70-0.200.900.3811-81913.815.6-1.8015.017.0-1.93
Gary Harris73770.68-0.180.860.477-41113.816.0-2.1515.515.5-0.00
Jamal Murray65690.60-0.100.690.397-41114.414.00.4515.715.10.64
Nikola Jokic61640.340.160.180.089-61515.811.64.1415.815.00.80
Wilson Chandler61610.010.49-0.480.36-1215-2714.513.90.6615.515.6-0.08
Torrey Craig1616-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-25-714.414.30.0815.615.50.12
Emmanuel Mudiay2523-0.150.65-0.80-0.00-58-1313.914.4-0.5215.015.7-0.68
Trey Lyles4548-0.420.92-1.34-0.12-1013-2315.013.71.2416.015.00.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.43,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 101, SAC 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.06,0.25,0.21,0.43,0.58,190.8%
POR 107, MIN 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,190.8%
MIL 82, ORL 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.42,190.5%