NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	9.3 [85]		MVP	Donte Greene (SAC): +19.9%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	14.9 [36]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -14.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	8	69%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.11	4	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.17,-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.01	26	60%	0.33	7	-0.37	3	67%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.08	-0.01	19	57%	0.21	4	-0.26	9	78%	0.01
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	38%	-0.00	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	0.00	4	71%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.07
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.06	0.19	-0.01	16	47%	0.24	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	21	44%	-0.03	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	17	47%	-0.09	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	31.5	15.5	29.4	3.4	40.6	152.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC -55.7%

SAC +8.6%

SAC +40.6%

SAC +59.3%

OKC -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	15.6	102.0	106.0	102.8
season	14.7	14.9		107.9	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		107.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	11.7	15.0	12.5	15.3	13.6
SAC	14.4	16.3	17.0	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	47	47	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.14	5	-10	15	15.4	11.9	3.46	17.1	13.8	3.28
Reggie Jackson	20	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-6	7	15.8	13.0	2.86	16.1	15.2	0.92
Nazr Mohammed	18	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	14.8	13.3	1.55	15.2	15.4	-0.16
Serge Ibaka	65	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	12.5	15.6	-3.13	15.6	14.8	0.82
Kendrick Perkins	44	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-4	3	11.7	15.0	-3.31	13.9	16.5	-2.65
Russell Westbrook	79	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.29	-6	1	-7	13.0	15.8	-2.86	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Kevin Durant	85	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	13.4	14.6	-1.17	15.4	15.5	-0.11
James Harden	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-4	3	14.2	12.1	2.06	15.0	16.2	-1.24
Daequan Cook	68	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	4	-13	13.8	13.1	0.64	15.3	15.5	-0.21

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	35	35	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.48	10	-5	15	14.0	16.1	-2.06	13.9	13.4	0.54
John Salmons	77	76	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.50	6	-1	7	14.9	16.8	-1.83	13.2	14.6	-1.36
Tyreke Evans	82	81	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-2	9	14.8	18.0	-3.21	12.9	16.7	-3.79
DeMarcus Cousins	63	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	4	-3	15.1	15.8	-0.74	12.6	15.2	-2.64
Marcus Thornton	65	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	5	-5	16.0	14.1	1.93	13.7	13.2	0.54
Isaiah Thomas	33	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	2	1	14.9	15.6	-0.73	14.6	13.1	1.48
JJ Hickson	19	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	15.6	15.3	0.32	13.6	13.6	0.06
Jason Thompson	63	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	16.1	14.2	1.92	13.2	14.2	-1.08
Jimmer Fredette	32	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.23	3	2	1	16.2	15.0	1.20	14.9	13.0	1.96
Charles Hayes	31	31	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.21	-3	8	-11	16.7	14.8	1.89	15.8	12.6	3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.2,0.06,0.25,0.21,0.43,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.43,0.58,1	90.8%
SAS 70, MIN 74	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.58,1	90.3%
SAS 120, PHI 122	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.1,0.04,0.58,1	90.3%