NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	99		Excitement	8.6 [184]		MVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): +26.3%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	2.6 [196]		LVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): -18.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	7	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.01	21	56%	0.20	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	72%	0.14	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.07
Patty Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Paul	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	15	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	6	43%	-0.04	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.09,0.04,-0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.26	-0.00	0.23	-0.04	20	57%	0.46	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	8	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	63%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	21.5	15.3	23.5	2.3	42.6	130.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.6%

SAS -6.5%

ATL +17.3%

SAS -17.0%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	14.7	104.2	107.4	107.5
season	15.5	14.6		106.7	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.3	16.1	16.3	15.4	16.3
ATL	14.0	13.4	15.0	14.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Paul	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-3	3	14.8	16.3	-1.53	12.0	14.2	-2.18
Joffrey Lauvergne	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-3	3	14.5	16.6	-2.06	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Dejounte Murray	37	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-3	3	16.2	16.3	-0.06	14.2	14.0	0.27
Pau Gasol	40	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-7	11	15.6	16.7	-1.13	15.0	13.3	1.63
Manu Ginobili	10	9	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	4	-11	19.2	15.9	3.29	11.6	14.3	-2.77
Danny Green	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.38	7	-10	17	15.2	18.0	-2.82	14.5	13.4	1.17
Patty Mills	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	0	-3	14.7	17.9	-3.26	13.7	14.4	-0.68
Bryn Forbes	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-2	1	15.5	16.8	-1.34	12.7	15.1	-2.34
Kyle Anderson	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-4	5	17.2	14.5	2.68	14.3	13.6	0.66
Davis Bertans	47	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	5	-13	17.2	15.4	1.82	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Tony Parker	47	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	1	-5	17.8	14.7	3.04	14.4	13.7	0.67
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	1	-5	16.7	15.2	1.44	14.3	13.4	0.90

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	55	56	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	-5	13	14.3	13.7	0.67	16.6	15.7	0.86
Kent Bazemore	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	2	-1	14.5	13.4	1.04	17.1	14.9	2.11
Dewayne Dedmon	52	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-1	5	13.2	15.1	-1.84	15.8	16.8	-1.03
Dennis Schroder	64	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.42	-1	4	-5	14.4	13.5	0.91	16.4	15.9	0.47
Malcolm Delaney	43	42	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-1	5	13.7	14.4	-0.75	14.7	17.5	-2.84
Tyler Dorsey	26	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	0	3	13.9	14.1	-0.19	17.0	15.9	1.11
Marco Belinelli	41	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	-3	9	13.3	14.6	-1.31	16.8	15.8	1.00
Miles Plumlee	32	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	6	-9	14.8	13.7	1.18	16.7	16.0	0.63
John Collins	44	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	2	-1	14.0	14.2	-0.20	16.2	16.3	-0.02
Mike Muscala	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	7	-11	15.1	14.0	1.17	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Taurean Prince	52	50	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	7	-11	14.2	13.8	0.41	15.5	17.0	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.33,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.81,0.82,0.61,0.45,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.52,0.61,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.86,0.92,1	90.5%
CLE 100, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.53,0.63,0.96,0.99,1	90.3%
UTA 101, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.83,1	90.2%