NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	8.3 [197]		MVP	Manny Harris (CLE): +16.0%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	2.9 [733]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -29.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manny Harris	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.16	0.19	-0.01	0.02	13	73%	0.25	1	-0.09	11	82%	0.05
Alonzo Gee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	57%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	23	46%	0.02	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
JJ Hickson	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	23	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.04
Christian Eyenga	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	10	40%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	11	22%	-0.20	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	17	56%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.10	0.02	12	65%	0.22	6	-0.14	7	100%	0.06
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	66%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.02	10	68%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.06	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	25.4	15.7	25.9	2.7	36.0	132.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +88.7%

CLE -17.0%

PHX +2.7%

CLE -23.6%

CLE -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.3	15.5	96.2	102.9	105.7
season	15.1	14.5		100.8	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		109.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.5	14.1	15.3	14.2	14.3
PHX	12.6	14.2	13.0	13.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	38	40	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-11	14	13.9	14.4	-0.49	13.9	13.0	0.92
Samardo Samuels	40	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-8	8	14.7	14.0	0.67	14.4	12.6	1.79
Alonzo Gee	41	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	14.6	14.0	0.62	13.3	13.3	0.07
JJ Hickson	78	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-2	-4	14.8	12.6	2.19	12.6	15.2	-2.56
Christian Eyenga	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	14.0	14.6	-0.62	13.3	13.3	-0.07
Mo Williams	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	13.9	15.5	-1.61	13.2	13.5	-0.28
Antawn Jamison	90	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	2	-12	13.6	18.5	-4.90	13.4	12.8	0.60
Manny Harris	90	90	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	2	-12	14.7	11.3	3.44	13.1	14.5	-1.36

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	92	91	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.19	15	-7	22	13.6	11.4	2.19	14.5	12.8	1.70
Steve Nash	83	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-1	10	13.0	14.4	-1.34	13.7	16.1	-2.35
Channing Frye	94	93	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-3	14	13.4	12.7	0.65	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Hakim Warrick	29	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	0	8	13.7	13.1	0.58	14.1	14.3	-0.22
Vince Carter	70	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	1	6	13.2	13.5	-0.23	14.5	13.7	0.78
Robin Lopez	62	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	6	-4	13.0	13.7	-0.70	14.4	14.0	0.40
Goran Dragic	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	8	-8	14.3	12.9	1.41	15.0	13.9	1.11
Mickael Pietrus	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	10	-12	13.6	13.2	0.41	13.9	14.4	-0.45
Grant Hill	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	10.0	13.7	-3.69	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Marcin Gortat	25	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	13	-18	13.3	13.3	-0.03	14.3	14.2	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.53,0.63,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, DEN 76	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.84,0.83,0.96,1	92.7%
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.0%
NOK 94, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.79,0.89,1,1	91.9%