NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	98		Excitement	6.5 [549]		MVP	Buddy Hield (SAC): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	1.0 [522]		LVP	Garrett Temple (SAC): -23.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	13	59%	0.13	4	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.02	0.06	11	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	11	73%	0.13	3	-0.10	4	25%	-0.08
Mason Plumlee	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.05
Malik Beasley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	16	55%	0.09	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Nikola Jokic	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	10	36%	-0.01	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	14	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	12	63%	0.14	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	8	67%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	60%	0.07	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.06	-0.01	9	11%	-0.11	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	25.5	15.2	25.7	2.6	31.3	128.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +18.4%

SAC +0.1%

DEN -9.5%

SAC +37.5%

SAC +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	14.2	14.7	97.0	105.0	107.5
season	14.7	15.4		111.2	102.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.8	14.8	15.2	13.4	14.3
SAC	13.4	15.9	11.9	16.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	35	35	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-13	18	14.3	14.3	0.05	15.9	13.3	2.65
Mason Plumlee	37	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-7	6	14.9	13.9	1.01	13.9	14.4	-0.54
Torrey Craig	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	13.4	14.6	-1.21	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Trey Lyles	64	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-12	16	13.8	15.2	-1.35	14.8	13.0	1.85
Will Barton	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-9	10	14.0	14.8	-0.86	14.6	13.6	0.97
Jamal Murray	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	14.4	13.9	0.57	14.4	13.7	0.66
Wilson Chandler	57	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	7	-22	14.8	13.6	1.19	14.0	14.5	-0.52
Nikola Jokic	74	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	5	-18	14.2	14.5	-0.24	13.5	16.1	-2.58
Gary Harris	77	77	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	4	-16	14.5	13.8	0.68	13.4	16.7	-3.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Aaron Fox	75	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-11	30	13.2	17.0	-3.76	14.7	13.2	1.52
Buddy Hield	74	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-6	20	14.4	13.6	0.79	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic	66	67	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	15.0	12.7	2.33	14.3	14.2	0.11
Willie Cauley-Stein	55	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-3	14	13.1	15.5	-2.33	14.4	14.2	0.16
Skal Labissiere	35	34	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-7	22	12.3	15.2	-2.85	15.0	14.0	1.04
Kosta Koufos	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	8	-8	15.2	13.3	1.95	14.6	14.1	0.53
Malachi Richardson	42	43	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	0	8	12.6	15.4	-2.80	14.9	13.8	1.09
Vince Carter	64	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.37	-10	18	-28	15.4	12.2	3.19	13.8	15.1	-1.26
Garrett Temple	46	44	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.40	-21	29	-50	15.8	12.9	2.89	13.4	15.0	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.75,0.81,0.93,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.93,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.91,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.91,1	94.4%
CHA 85, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.95,1	93.6%
MIA 84, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.2%