NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	84		Excitement	5.7 [669]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +16.3%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.2 [571]		LVP	Rex Walters (MIA): -20.8%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	75%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	11	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dan Majerle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	4	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harold Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	14	66%	0.06	3	-0.10	7	57%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.04	13	41%	-0.05	6	-0.13	8	37%	-0.05
Rex Walters	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.03	9	96%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	22	50%	0.03	1	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	64%	0.06	5	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	16	32%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	31.3	15.4	25.2	2.4	33.7	138.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +15.8%

BOS +10.3%

BOS +12.0%

BOS +15.9%

MIA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BOS	NBA	MIA	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.2	93.3	104.3	101.7
season	15.7	14.7		101.2	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.9		103.3	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.3	18.5	17.8	16.1	16.3
BOS	15.5	13.6	15.7	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harold Jamison	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-16	20	15.5	16.4	-0.94	11.6	15.9	-4.33
Rodney Buford	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-14	16	11.2	16.8	-5.55	11.2	15.7	-4.49
Clar. Weatherspoon	35	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-17	22	17.3	15.7	1.64	15.6	15.2	0.41
Alonzo Mourning	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-5	-2	15.5	18.4	-2.97	16.6	12.4	4.11
Rex Walters	36	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-9	6	17.9	15.3	2.58	14.9	15.7	-0.78
Dan Majerle	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	1	-14	14.7	19.1	-4.34	15.6	14.9	0.75
Voshon Lenard	57	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-9	6	18.0	13.4	4.56	15.1	15.8	-0.64
Jamal Mashburn	81	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.4	15.7	0.72	15.8	11.1	4.70
Anthony Carter	34	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	-1	-10	15.3	16.9	-1.68	15.1	15.5	-0.45
P.J. Brown	66	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.12	-23	11	-34	16.9	14.7	2.24	15.0	16.3	-1.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-8	28	15.0	16.3	-1.39	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Vitaly Potapenko	48	49	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.06	22	-10	32	16.3	14.3	1.93	16.1	16.6	-0.55
Paul Pierce	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.03	18	-6	24	15.0	16.9	-1.88	15.9	18.1	-2.13
Antoine Walker	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-4	20	15.5	14.6	0.97	16.1	17.2	-1.14
Adrian Griffin	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	6	0	14.8	16.0	-1.18	16.9	15.6	1.28
Eric Williams	40	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.05	3	9	-6	16.0	14.8	1.24	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Tony Battie	43	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	16	-20	14.3	16.2	-1.88	18.1	14.8	3.31
Calbert Cheaney	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	17	-22	16.3	15.0	1.28	15.9	16.4	-0.59
Pervis Ellison	18	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	20	-28	14.7	15.5	-0.85	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Dana Barros	26	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	20	-28	16.3	15.0	1.39	17.0	16.0	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
NOK 112, HOU 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	94.6%
DAL 92, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%