inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 85 Excitement5.9 [641] MVPAl Horford (ATL): +15.5%
Atlanta Hawks 90 Comeback1.0 [964] LVPDominic McGuire (CHA): -14.4%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.000.001569%0.162-0.07250%-0.04
Kwame Brown0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.00480%0.111-0.032100%0.02
D.J. Augustin0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.010.001954%0.052-0.043100%0.02
Matt Carroll0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.020.00425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Gerald Henderson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01425%-0.0300.00475%0.00
Tyrus Thomas-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00933%-0.0400.003100%0.03
Derrick Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00540%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.120,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.001428%-0.1200.00475%0.01
Dominic McGuire-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.040.021231%-0.101-0.042100%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.060.001267%0.1600.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.13,0.130.130.060.090.031162%0.161-0.034100%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.050.05-0.000.04-0.001447%0.081-0.03683%0.01
Jason Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.001100%0.041-0.021100%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01956%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00462%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Zaza Pachulia00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damien Wilkins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00550%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03933%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.001346%0.025-0.1300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.21.825.316.323.81.837.2134.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +66.2%
CHA -7.9%
CHA -9.5%
CHA -0.2%
ATL +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAATLNBACHAATLNBA
this game16.716.415.597.7103.4105.7
season16.216.5102.3104.0
opponent15.515.5105.1106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.816.417.116.616.7
ATL12.715.619.818.516.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaun Livingston2525-0.02-0.480.47-0.134-91317.816.31.4517.416.01.38
Gerald Henderson1111-0.05-0.450.390.03-3-2-118.516.52.0814.516.7-2.20
Matt Carroll78-0.09-0.410.33-0.090-5515.016.9-1.8813.916.6-2.76
Derrick Brown1818-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-5514.117.4-3.3614.416.9-2.44
Tyrus Thomas3029-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-4317.816.11.6915.616.8-1.19
Kwame Brown4442-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-5517.615.81.7519.813.26.54
Nazr Mohammed3637-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-50-515.917.3-1.4214.218.0-3.81
Boris Diaw6465-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.372-7916.517.3-0.7316.914.82.09
D.J. Augustin7170-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.26-61-716.218.9-2.6415.619.6-4.06
Stephen Jackson5758-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.31-61-717.016.20.8016.416.20.21
Dominic McGuire7272-0.550.05-0.60-0.26-105-1516.816.50.3116.814.32.47

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Bibby58600.57-0.070.630.2411-61717.015.11.9716.517.1-0.56
Al Horford63650.480.020.450.219-41317.513.54.0317.016.00.97
Joe Johnson67680.440.060.390.3050517.114.03.0216.318.2-1.83
Josh Smith73720.430.070.360.3432116.217.5-1.3416.915.91.04
Marvin Williams64630.380.120.270.3514-316.815.11.7016.517.4-0.96
Maurice Evans23240.120.38-0.27-0.0041315.116.8-1.7017.416.50.96
Damien Wilkins21200.060.44-0.390.11-27-913.417.3-3.8917.516.51.01
Jason Collins16150.030.47-0.440.06-16-712.917.2-4.2914.317.2-2.89
Zaza Pachulia440.010.49-0.480.04-16-714.716.5-1.7115.216.8-1.55
Josh Powell18170.010.49-0.490.07-27-916.816.30.5718.516.32.17
Jeff Teague2827-0.020.52-0.540.04-27-915.616.8-1.1916.916.60.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 108, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.9,0.92,194.0%
CHA 98, TOR 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,193.9%
NJN 84, UTA 910.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,193.8%