NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	8.5 [211]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +27.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	2.0 [655]		LVP	Robert Covington (PHI): -11.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.28,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.08	0.02	17	62%	0.23	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.15,0.05,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	21	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.05
Derrick White	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.15	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Bryn Forbes	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	11	60%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	10	59%	-0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.13	-0.01	12	67%	0.30	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.23,0.24	0.24	-0.02	0.25	-0.01	18	51%	0.32	4	-0.08	15	67%	-0.07
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	12	60%	0.16	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.03
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	58%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	7	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.2	14.6	30.4	2.3	35.6	137.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +12.2%

PHI +31.0%

PHI +2.6%

PHI +4.7%

SAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	14.7	109.3	113.1	107.5
season	15.5	13.9		106.7	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.3	14.3	16.2	17.7	15.8
PHI	12.4	14.0	13.2	15.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	13	12	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-12	18	19.8	15.2	4.66	18.7	12.9	5.86
Joffrey Lauvergne	24	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	14.7	16.2	-1.53	14.1	13.4	0.65
Brandon Paul	32	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	15.0	16.2	-1.17	15.4	12.6	2.77
Bryn Forbes	82	83	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.35	5	-11	16	15.8	16.1	-0.38	13.7	13.2	0.41
Patty Mills	63	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.38	6	-12	18	14.6	18.1	-3.50	13.0	14.7	-1.68
Davis Bertans	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.44	7	-13	20	14.5	18.5	-3.96	13.0	14.7	-1.65
Darrun Hilliard	10	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	5	-16	13.2	16.1	-2.91	12.2	13.8	-1.53
Pau Gasol	25	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	6	-18	18.6	14.8	3.75	12.8	13.9	-1.12
Kyle Anderson	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-3	0	16.4	14.2	2.18	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Dejounte Murray	26	28	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.11	-20	14	-34	18.0	15.0	2.93	13.1	13.8	-0.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.2	14.7	1.53	13.4	14.1	-0.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	74	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.24	16	-10	26	13.1	15.0	-1.88	16.4	14.2	2.16
Dario Saric	58	57	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.05	19	-13	32	13.4	13.9	-0.56	16.9	14.3	2.58
JJ Redick	67	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-5	16	13.1	14.5	-1.38	16.2	15.0	1.17
Ben Simmons	70	68	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.35	2	4	-2	13.4	14.0	-0.62	16.1	15.1	0.97
Robert Covington	67	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	8	-10	13.6	13.7	-0.09	15.9	15.7	0.18
Richaun Holmes	12	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	4	-2	15.3	13.4	1.98	17.4	15.6	1.75
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	11	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	0	6	13.2	13.6	-0.47	15.2	15.9	-0.69
T.J. McConnell	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	8	-10	13.0	14.1	-1.08	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Trevor Booker	17	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	11	-16	13.5	13.6	-0.15	13.0	16.4	-3.37
Jerryd Bayless	47	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	13	-20	14.8	12.5	2.31	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Amir Johnson	24	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	16	-26	15.6	12.9	2.68	14.2	16.4	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.45,0.85,1	91.6%
GSW 89, DEN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.91,1	91.2%
IND 95, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.71,0.55,0.85,1	91.1%