inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Excitement8.3 [227] MVPJeremy Lamb (CHA): +26.6%
Charlotte Hornets 111 Comeback22.2 [50] LVPMalcolm Brogdon (MIL): -12.2%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thon Maker0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.010.00387%0.0800.002100%0.01
Khris Middleton0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.080.08-0.01-0.012458%0.193-0.115100%0.04
Sean Kilpatrick0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.00961%0.0700.0000%0.00
John Henson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.040.09-0.030.021067%0.0400.00450%-0.08
D.J. Wilson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Snell-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.05-0.050.01769%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Sterling Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.001353%0.133-0.18475%0.02
Malcolm Brogdon-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12-0.05-0.070.001242%-0.042-0.0800%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.270.140.12-0.00587%0.2700.005100%0.04
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.060.00970%0.1500.002100%0.01
Treveon Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.01-0.00887%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.060.021162%0.244-0.161258%-0.04
Marvin Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.05-0.00350%0.062-0.042100%0.04
Johnny O'Bryant III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.010.00262%0.041-0.02475%0.01
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01267%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.050.00542%0.052-0.06250%-0.01
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.06-0.011343%-0.061-0.012100%-0.01
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11-0.11-0.06-0.030.031549%0.034-0.14967%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.528.514.629.31.537.8140.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +16.9%
CHA +30.9%
CHA +21.9%
MIL -18.7%
MIL -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCHANBAMILCHANBA
this game14.515.414.7107.1118.1107.5
season14.314.6108.5108.7
opponent14.515.4108.5108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL15.213.715.813.614.5
CHA14.815.218.513.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matthew Dellavedova39340.53-1.031.56-0.0018-234115.014.20.8117.414.23.18
D.J. Wilson13110.01-0.510.510.010-5514.814.40.4217.715.12.65
Sterling Brown1616-0.00-0.500.490.03-1-4313.914.6-0.7315.215.4-0.16
Sean Kilpatrick3331-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-6713.515.0-1.4515.215.5-0.33
John Henson5957-0.08-0.420.34-0.349-142314.714.20.4415.115.8-0.62
DeAndre Liggins2223-0.11-0.390.280.09-72-914.514.5-0.0416.415.01.39
Thon Maker2423-0.23-0.270.050.10-116-1715.314.21.1216.914.91.97
Eric Bledsoe6963-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.40-2-3114.414.6-0.1714.716.7-1.98
Tony Snell7267-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.40-3-2-114.315.1-0.8114.517.5-3.00
Khris Middleton8178-0.640.14-0.78-0.35-105-1514.912.82.0915.514.60.91
Malcolm Brogdon6767-0.950.45-1.41-0.40-1914-3314.115.2-1.0814.717.0-2.27

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Treveon Graham55560.56-0.060.620.0617-122915.215.7-0.5314.514.40.12
Nicolas Batum70760.52-0.020.540.3850514.717.3-2.5614.614.00.57
Kemba Walker67710.470.030.430.4414-314.517.5-3.0014.215.1-0.87
Frank Kaminsky41430.360.140.23-0.1116-112716.514.52.0015.014.10.95
Michael Carter-Williams30310.230.27-0.030.037-2915.815.20.5613.914.7-0.85
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist47520.220.28-0.070.51-1015-2514.915.9-0.9813.915.1-1.26
Jeremy Lamb37390.190.31-0.130.0450516.714.52.1813.715.0-1.27
Dwight Howard63640.130.37-0.240.28-510-1515.914.41.4915.113.41.68
Johnny O'Bryant III16180.010.49-0.47-0.0423-116.415.21.2014.814.40.36
Malik Monk32-0.020.52-0.550.01-16-717.715.32.3612.514.5-2.03
Marvin Williams4143-0.170.67-0.850.18-1217-2914.915.8-0.9415.014.10.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.72,0.85,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 98, SEA 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.47,0.55,0.77,0.85,192.5%
BKN 112, TOR 1160.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.91,190.8%
DET 101, MIL 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.15,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.62,0.64,0.76,0.87,190.7%