NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	8.2 [238]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +30.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	102		Comeback	11.9 [214]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -41.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27	0.07	0.19	-0.00	6	71%	0.28	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.08
Steven Hunter	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	13	57%	0.13	1	-0.01	9	44%	-0.08
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	80%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.06
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.02	14	57%	0.01	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.12,-0.23,-0.41,-0.41	-0.13	-0.31	-0.03	26	37%	-0.25	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.13	0.00	14	72%	0.39	1	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.00	8	67%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	17	53%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	9	33%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	26.4	16.7	24.0	1.8	44.0	140.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +60.9%

PHI -13.8%

PHI -10.9%

SEA +11.3%

SEA +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SEA	NBA	PHI	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	13.8	15.6	105.4	109.7	104.4
season	15.2	15.0		104.1	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.3		112.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.2	17.0	18.1	15.6	17.2
SEA	12.5	15.0	14.6	13.2	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	8	7	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-7	10	21.2	16.8	4.45	15.0	13.7	1.31
Michael Bradley	3	3	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	22.3	17.0	5.32	17.7	13.7	4.01
Matt Barnes	29	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	16.1	17.7	-1.52	12.2	14.5	-2.34
Steven Hunter	69	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-10	16	17.0	17.7	-0.76	14.1	12.9	1.23
Kevin Ollie	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	10	-24	17.4	17.1	0.25	12.9	14.2	-1.34
Samuel Dalembert	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	8	-20	19.1	16.3	2.78	14.3	13.6	0.71
Andre Iguodala	82	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-4	4	17.3	16.5	0.72	13.9	12.8	1.09
John Salmons	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	16.0	19.3	-3.28	13.9	13.6	0.30
Chris Webber	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	17.0	18.4	-1.42	13.5	16.0	-2.51
Kyle Korver	76	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	2	-8	17.4	16.4	0.94	14.1	12.3	1.78

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	59	60	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.36	16	-12	28	12.8	15.4	-2.61	17.1	17.4	-0.28
Robert Swift	49	47	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.50	7	-3	10	13.5	14.1	-0.58	17.2	17.2	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	77	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	0	4	13.7	14.3	-0.64	16.7	20.0	-3.27
Rashard Lewis	73	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-1	6	13.1	16.4	-3.40	17.3	16.9	0.36
Ray Allen	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	1	2	14.4	8.4	6.03	17.0	18.6	-1.59
Mikki Moore	15	13	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	2	0	15.1	13.5	1.61	20.0	16.7	3.27
Luke Ridnour	42	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	13.1	14.3	-1.21	16.8	17.5	-0.64
Damien Wilkins	25	23	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	11	-18	15.7	13.1	2.65	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Johan Petro	42	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.13	-5	9	-14	14.7	13.1	1.61	18.2	16.3	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.47,0.55,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, CHA 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	92.5%
SAS 85, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.84,0.85,1	91.4%
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	91.3%