NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	112		Excitement	7.8 [329]		MVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): +31.4%
Toronto Raptors	116		Comeback	10.3 [408]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -22.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.02	11	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.04	0.01	10	82%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.08
DeMarre Carroll	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	7	70%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	70%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	3	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.07
Caris LeVert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	12	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.22	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	21	38%	-0.19	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.09

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.22	0.10	0.01	11	89%	0.34	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.13	-0.00	12	62%	0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	68%	0.18	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	21	41%	-0.10	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.7	24.6	15.4	32.5	2.6	50.4	150.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.1%

TOR +7.3%

TOR +12.0%

BKN -4.5%

BKN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	13.3	14.7	108.7	112.6	107.5
season	14.7	14.6		105.8	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.1		105.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.8	15.0	14.1	14.8	14.7
TOR	12.9	15.0	13.1	12.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	67	64	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-4	4	13.9	16.1	-2.16	13.1	13.5	-0.37
Spencer Dinwiddie	49	49	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-3	2	15.6	13.9	1.70	14.1	12.5	1.57
Dante Cunningham	48	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-4	4	14.7	14.7	-0.02	12.8	13.7	-0.93
Joe Harris	38	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	5	-14	17.2	13.2	3.97	13.6	13.1	0.54
DeMarre Carroll	64	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-10	16	14.8	14.5	0.27	13.3	13.3	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	65	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-9	14	13.2	17.2	-3.97	13.1	13.6	-0.54
D'Angelo Russell	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.1	15.9	-1.88	13.1	13.7	-0.66
Jarrett Allen	55	54	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	14.7	14.7	0.02	13.7	12.8	0.93
Caris LeVert	60	60	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.42	-16	12	-28	15.4	13.7	1.73	13.0	13.7	-0.63

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	69	70	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-6	16	13.0	13.8	-0.81	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Kyle Lowry	82	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-7	18	12.7	15.4	-2.64	14.3	16.4	-2.13
Serge Ibaka	64	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	5	-6	14.0	12.2	1.81	14.4	15.2	-0.76
DeMar DeRozan	71	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	6	-8	13.2	13.4	-0.14	14.4	15.4	-1.05
Jonas Valanciunas	49	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	4	-4	13.1	13.5	-0.38	13.3	15.9	-2.54
Pascal Siakam	55	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-5	14	12.9	13.8	-0.92	15.4	13.8	1.58
Lucas Nogueira	25	26	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	-6	16	12.8	13.4	-0.64	15.6	14.4	1.25
Delon Wright	46	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.08	1	3	-2	13.0	13.5	-0.47	16.0	13.7	2.27
Norman Powell	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	16.2	12.9	3.25	16.1	14.5	1.57
OG Anunoby	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	8	-12	13.6	13.2	0.45	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Jakob Poeltl	16	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	13	-22	14.9	13.0	1.89	14.6	14.7	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	91.7%
ATL 98, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.4%
IND 102, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.68,0.84,1	91.4%