inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 88 Excitement6.6 [449] MVPChauncey Billups (BOS): +16.4%
Boston Celtics 97 Comeback12.2 [39] LVPRod Strickland (WAS): -20.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.040.010.02-0.011158%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Harvey Grant-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Terry Davis-0.040,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.030.01367%0.011-0.0500%0.00
Chris Webber-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.011953%0.054-0.0900%0.00
Ledell Eackles-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02450%-0.004-0.08475%0.00
Tracy Murray-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.04-0.031143%-0.072-0.03875%-0.00
Chris Whitney-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.06-0.01425%-0.011-0.0800%0.00
Juwan Howard-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17-0.10-0.09-0.031261%0.057-0.221283%0.02
Rod Strickland-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.16-0.06-0.011126%-0.152-0.05520%-0.10

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.110.05783%0.1600.00475%-0.01
Walter McCarty0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.090.090.030.06-0.00862%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.030.040.000.02-0.021664%0.165-0.13475%-0.01
Pervis Ellison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01650%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Greg Minor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dontae' Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Travis Knight0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01650%0.002-0.05250%-0.01
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.050.01650%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Tyus Edney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00567%0.054-0.112100%0.01
Ron Mercer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.110.02-0.021734%-0.031-0.03475%0.02
Dana Barros0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.325.015.027.01.528.5127.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +38.8%
WAS -2.8%
WAS -11.3%
BOS +22.1%
BOS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASBOSNBAWASBOSNBA
this game14.814.615.689.899.0102.5
season15.115.1102.8100.2
opponent15.115.6103.0102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.610.919.118.114.8
BOS13.615.814.214.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ledell Eackles27280.17-0.670.83-0.047-162312.515.7-3.1717.013.63.35
Harvey Grant980.01-0.510.520.07-2-7515.114.80.3214.214.6-0.35
Calbert Cheaney6869-0.03-0.470.430.08-4-5114.415.8-1.4214.514.7-0.12
Tracy Murray6667-0.25-0.250.01-0.16-3-6313.717.2-3.5715.013.71.21
Chris Whitney3131-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.20-5-4-113.615.4-1.7115.514.21.29
Terry Davis3131-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.14-112-1318.413.15.2712.415.6-3.24
Chris Webber8988-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.32-6-3-314.716.0-1.3014.415.9-1.48
Rod Strickland7676-0.530.03-0.55-0.29-8-1-715.711.83.9214.215.9-1.67
Juwan Howard9392-0.560.06-0.62-0.18-134-1715.28.07.1814.515.3-0.81

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups45460.78-0.281.070.2917-82513.915.2-1.2615.913.82.07
Ron Mercer71720.64-0.140.770.3111-21313.916.2-2.2815.213.71.48
Antoine Walker95940.54-0.040.590.2211-21314.612.32.3115.010.54.50
Walter McCarty26280.400.100.300.0512-31512.215.4-3.2416.414.22.26
Andrew DeClercq29310.380.120.260.0611-21312.315.5-3.1616.614.02.58
Bruce Bowen68660.140.36-0.210.17-110-1115.512.62.8914.415.7-1.29
Travis Knight53530.130.37-0.230.25-413-1716.212.73.4814.814.9-0.13
Dana Barros2019-0.010.51-0.52-0.1345-118.013.74.3114.914.80.16
Pervis Ellison1615-0.020.52-0.54-0.0209-913.514.8-1.2811.115.5-4.43
Dontae' Jones2019-0.090.59-0.69-0.0909-917.313.93.4314.115.0-0.95
Greg Minor1313-0.130.63-0.760.05-615-2114.014.7-0.6612.015.2-3.25
Tyus Edney3434-0.270.77-1.050.02-1019-2913.115.3-2.1813.115.7-2.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 99, MIL 1080.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.23,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.98,194.2%
ATL 98, MIL 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,193.1%
SAC 79, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.46,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.98,192.0%