inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Hornets 99 Excitement7.2 [443] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +25.2%
Milwaukee Bucks 108 Comeback20.2 [209] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -26.1%


Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.04-0.043100%0.102-0.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.01972%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.001155%0.092-0.05757%-0.02
Willy Hernangomez0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01370%0.051-0.02475%-0.00
Nicolas Batum0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.030.08-0.030.021561%0.061-0.031100%0.01
Devonte' Graham0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02653%0.062-0.04333%-0.00
Miles Bridges-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.02825%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Lamb-0.140,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14-0.03-0.110.001837%-0.1400.00771%0.01
Malik Monk-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.0050%-0.112-0.0400%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.260,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.12-0.140.011237%-0.164-0.103100%0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.190.080.022168%0.302-0.05875%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.070.021363%0.161-0.034100%0.01
Khris Middleton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.011260%0.141-0.031100%0.00
Brook Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.000.00667%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Sterling Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.01560%0.031-0.025100%0.02
D.J. Wilson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.021649%0.032-0.05580%0.01
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01642%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.0030%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.010.0040%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.71.630.412.827.52.536.0137.5
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +47.0%
MIL +4.7%
CHA -1.3%
CHA -1.0%
MIL +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMILNBACHAMILNBA
this game14.812.514.394.3101.9109.3
season14.613.5110.4112.4
opponent14.314.3104.0111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.513.713.218.414.8
MIL13.212.413.011.212.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Malik Monk25260.14-0.640.77-0.077-162315.214.70.4612.812.30.51
Miles Bridges42410.05-0.550.590.16-4-5114.814.9-0.0212.012.8-0.79
Bismack Biyombo3537-0.01-0.490.49-0.186-152114.315.1-0.7613.112.10.95
Willy Hernangomez2019-0.09-0.410.320.06-5-4-114.315.0-0.6112.712.40.27
Devonte' Graham4647-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-112-1315.614.31.3212.312.6-0.33
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist5553-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-112-1315.314.40.8912.512.5-0.02
Jeremy Lamb6468-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-4-5114.715.1-0.4512.113.1-0.96
Nicolas Batum8384-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.31-5-4-114.814.9-0.0212.213.5-1.25
Kemba Walker7878-0.540.04-0.58-0.33-7-2-514.615.4-0.8012.811.41.45
Marvin Williams7777-0.540.04-0.58-0.22-112-1314.715.2-0.5012.612.20.35

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Connaughton25250.90-0.401.300.3718-92710.813.0-2.2318.313.84.56
Khris Middleton71720.74-0.240.980.2417-82512.711.90.7815.214.01.19
Malcolm Brogdon63630.64-0.140.790.3510-11111.913.3-1.4115.414.01.49
Eric Bledsoe69660.61-0.110.730.2612-31512.512.40.0515.214.20.98
Giannis Antetokounmpo87830.500.000.500.3554112.313.2-0.8514.815.0-0.19
George Hill2931-0.080.58-0.66-0.02-211-1313.412.11.2614.415.0-0.65
D.J. Wilson2527-0.090.59-0.68-0.0909-914.012.01.9614.215.1-0.89
Tony Snell3432-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-413-1711.912.7-0.8514.115.2-1.08
Ersan Ilyasova2020-0.130.63-0.770.01-514-1910.812.8-2.0515.114.80.37
Brook Lopez5656-0.230.73-0.95-0.2309-913.111.71.3713.416.4-3.00
Sterling Brown5150-0.240.74-0.99-0.07-615-2113.012.00.9614.015.6-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.23,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.68,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 88, BOS 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,194.2%
ATL 98, MIL 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,192.1%
MIL 97, MIN 1030.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.62,0.71,0.9,0.91,191.5%