NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	7.7 [284]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +26.6%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	13.2 [204]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -16.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.02	12	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.14,0.1	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	14	53%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	62%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	13	43%	0.02	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	13	53%	-0.05	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.03	0.23	-0.01	22	60%	0.40	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.09
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	21	57%	0.09	2	-0.11	12	75%	-0.04
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.8	16.7	23.4	2.3	35.7	134.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.9%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +11.3%

DAL +17.5%

IND -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.1	15.6	101.0	108.8	102.3
season	15.3	14.8		101.6	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	12.8	16.3	14.4	14.3
DAL	13.0	16.5	15.0	12.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	57	57	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.10	1	-10	11	14.4	14.0	0.38	14.2	14.1	0.09
Jonathan Bender	16	17	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-12	15	14.9	14.1	0.73	15.1	13.9	1.13
Jalen Rose	73	73	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	14.1	14.6	-0.48	13.3	16.1	-2.82
Jamaal Tinsley	80	81	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.54	13.9	15.0	-1.17
Austin Croshere	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	14.9	13.9	1.03	16.5	12.9	3.69
Travis Best	28	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	15.7	13.7	2.07	14.6	13.9	0.61
Al Harrington	59	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	-2	-5	13.3	15.7	-2.41	14.0	14.3	-0.25
Jermaine O'Neal	78	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	5	-19	14.4	13.7	0.73	13.7	15.3	-1.59
Reggie Miller	80	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	4	-17	14.2	14.4	-0.16	14.1	14.2	-0.14

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adrian Griffin	52	50	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-7	23	13.2	15.1	-1.97	14.2	14.3	-0.07
Tim Hardaway	50	51	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-4	17	14.0	14.2	-0.19	14.5	14.0	0.51
Eduardo Najera	62	62	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.23	15	-6	21	14.2	13.9	0.32	14.5	13.9	0.50
Steve Nash	88	87	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-7	23	14.2	13.6	0.55	14.6	12.4	2.12
Dirk Nowitzki	102	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.1	0.0	14.12	14.3	0.0	14.26
Danny Manning	11	13	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	4	1	14.1	14.1	-0.03	16.5	13.9	2.62
Charlie Bell	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	3.0	14.2	-11.23	10.0	14.3	-4.30
Wang Zhi-zhi	14	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	13	-17	16.7	13.7	3.01	13.5	14.4	-0.83
Johnny Newman	44	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	15	-21	14.3	14.0	0.35	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Greg Buckner	39	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.07	-7	16	-23	13.6	14.4	-0.77	13.3	14.8	-1.56
Juwan Howard	47	47	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	18	-27	14.7	13.7	1.01	13.9	14.6	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.55,0.85,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	91.8%
BKN 112, TOR 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.11,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.91,1	91.4%
TOR 81, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	91.3%