NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	98		Excitement	7.8 [277]		MVP	Dan Langhi (HOU): +15.4%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	10.6 [92]		LVP	Vin Baker (SEA): -18.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	21	57%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	10	62%	0.03	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Shammond Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.13	0.04	-0.15	0.01	18	51%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	11	40%	-0.08	3	-0.10	3	0%	-0.12

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	9	94%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.06	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	1	80%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	14	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	0.00	6	44%	0.01	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.05
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	8	62%	-0.01	3	-0.12	10	80%	0.04
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	24	54%	0.01	6	-0.15	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	27.2	15.7	23.5	2.0	41.2	134.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -12.1%

HOU +48.1%

HOU +19.5%

SEA -3.8%

SEA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.6	111.4	112.4	102.3
season	16.0	16.8		106.3	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.8		106.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.9	16.0	15.9	15.1	16.1
HOU	17.2	16.7	18.4	13.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	7	8	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.00	5	-7	12	12.7	16.4	-3.73	11.0	16.9	-5.93
Jerome James	29	30	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-3	4	15.7	16.4	-0.68	17.4	15.9	1.47
Randy Livingston	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-4	6	17.4	15.5	1.84	18.0	15.7	2.34
Predrag Drobnjak	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	4	-10	17.1	15.5	1.60	17.1	15.9	1.22
Ansu Sesay	53	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-5	8	15.6	16.9	-1.32	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Vin Baker	42	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	17.7	14.8	2.91	18.5	14.6	3.90
Gary Payton	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-2	2	15.8	17.5	-1.64	16.0	18.0	-2.01
Brent Barry	75	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-1	0	16.1	16.2	-0.10	16.2	17.8	-1.63
Desmond Mason	72	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	15.7	18.3	-2.65	16.0	18.1	-2.13
Shammond Williams	27	28	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.45	-6	4	-10	15.8	16.3	-0.53	15.0	17.0	-1.98

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Morris	42	40	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.54	2	0	2	14.6	18.0	-3.45	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Moochie Norris	46	43	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.56	1	1	0	15.3	17.5	-2.16	15.3	17.0	-1.65
Steve Francis	83	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.48	1	1	0	16.2	19.7	-3.51	16.3	14.2	2.13
Kenny Thomas	66	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.40	1	1	0	16.0	17.5	-1.46	16.3	15.7	0.62
Cuttino Mobley	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	6	-10	16.1	17.5	-1.39	15.9	17.4	-1.49
Oscar Torres	14	14	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	-5	12	15.8	16.5	-0.72	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Jason Collier	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.06	-2	4	-6	17.7	15.9	1.84	17.5	15.7	1.80
Tierre Brown	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	1	0	19.7	16.2	3.51	14.2	16.3	-2.13
Kelvin Cato	45	46	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	-1	4	17.9	14.8	3.07	16.5	15.7	0.78
Dan Langhi	47	48	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	2	-2	18.0	14.6	3.45	17.4	14.7	2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 112, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.17,0.25,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.23,0.26,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.9,1	92.2%
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	92.1%
WAS 88, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	91.9%