NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	104		Excitement	8.2 [236]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +27.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	5.3 [365]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -16.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.25,0.25	0.19	0.08	0.02	21	71%	0.41	2	-0.17	3	67%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	8	68%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.02	7	87%	0.21	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08	-0.03	0.13	0.02	13	46%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	7	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.09	0.00	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.12	-0.02	11	27%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.13	0.00	22	62%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.17	0.00	20	54%	0.27	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	11	58%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.06	0.02	16	57%	0.16	4	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.6	14.8	24.2	1.8	29.2	125.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +2.5%

MIL +16.0%

MIL +4.1%

MIL +24.7%

MIL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	16.5	14.0	14.7	109.5	116.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.3		108.7	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.5		108.9	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	14.6	18.5	16.0	16.5
MIL	12.0	16.0	13.4	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	64	65	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-6	7	16.4	16.6	-0.22	13.9	14.2	-0.30
Michael Carter-Williams	32	30	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-6	7	17.1	16.2	0.90	14.9	13.6	1.37
Johnny O'Bryant III	37	35	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.06	0	-5	5	16.0	16.8	-0.80	14.4	13.7	0.68
Malik Monk	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-3	1	17.9	16.2	1.73	16.8	13.4	3.39
Dwight Howard	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-3	1	16.3	16.5	-0.14	13.1	14.1	-1.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	64	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-8	11	15.5	18.5	-3.00	14.1	13.7	0.36
Nicolas Batum	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	16.3	16.8	-0.44	13.6	14.9	-1.37
Marvin Williams	63	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	2	-9	17.3	14.7	2.63	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Frank Kaminsky	60	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	2	-9	16.9	15.8	1.10	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Jeremy Lamb	64	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.42	-7	2	-9	16.0	17.4	-1.32	14.0	14.1	-0.10

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	72	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.34	20	-15	35	13.6	15.2	-1.69	17.0	14.8	2.16
Eric Bledsoe	70	71	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-11	27	13.4	15.7	-2.24	16.9	15.2	1.68
Thon Maker	34	35	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.45	13	-8	21	13.7	14.2	-0.51	17.3	16.0	1.35
Malcolm Brogdon	61	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-2	9	13.9	14.2	-0.23	16.0	17.3	-1.29
Khris Middleton	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	14.0	13.8	0.21	16.4	16.8	-0.41
Sean Kilpatrick	20	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	0	5	13.9	14.0	-0.13	17.3	16.2	1.12
Sterling Brown	14	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	7	-9	11.9	14.4	-2.43	16.9	16.4	0.46
DeAndre Liggins	17	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	11	-17	17.9	13.1	4.81	17.6	16.2	1.32
Tony Snell	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	14	-23	14.2	13.8	0.39	15.7	17.0	-1.30
John Henson	40	40	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	18	-31	14.3	13.8	0.57	15.3	17.3	-2.05
Matthew Dellavedova	28	28	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.04	-13	18	-31	14.9	13.6	1.32	15.5	16.9	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.23,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	89.7%
WAS 98, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.74,1	89.3%
MEM 92, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.17,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.43,0.84,1	88.8%