NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	9.4 [106]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +42.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	4.1 [187]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): -23.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.32	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.32	0.07	0.22	-0.03	20	53%	0.33	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0.2,0.2,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	12	65%	0.24	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	7	71%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	3	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	5	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	16	43%	-0.04	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.09

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.11	0.31	0.00	5	85%	0.42	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.16	0.01	15	66%	0.31	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.06
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	-0.06	0.14	-0.02	17	50%	0.22	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	8	35%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	12	27%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	26.5	15.5	27.2	2.7	41.1	142.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +23.8%

WAS -3.5%

POR +25.4%

POR +6.2%

WAS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	13.5	15.0	15.4	98.0	98.0	104.5
season	14.8	16.7		107.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.0	14.1	13.9	13.7	13.5
POR	18.5	14.1	13.8	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	39	40	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.06	7	-9	16	14.1	13.1	0.95	13.9	15.8	-1.86
Calvin Booth	10	11	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-7	12	13.8	13.4	0.37	13.1	15.3	-2.17
Etan Thomas	33	32	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-3	4	14.1	13.2	0.93	14.3	15.4	-1.04
Andray Blatche	22	22	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-5	8	12.5	13.7	-1.19	19.2	13.9	5.35
Darius Songaila	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	1	-4	13.4	13.5	-0.10	13.1	16.3	-3.13
Michael Ruffin	13	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	4	-10	16.2	13.1	3.08	15.3	15.0	0.34
DeShawn Stevenson	61	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-9	16	12.9	14.4	-1.46	16.1	13.3	2.77
Roger Mason Jr.	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	2	-6	13.7	13.3	0.40	12.1	16.4	-4.39
Brendan Haywood	40	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	1	-4	12.8	13.9	-1.12	17.4	13.5	3.91
Jarvis Hayes	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	1	-4	14.1	12.9	1.22	15.5	14.7	0.81
Antawn Jamison	84	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	13.2	15.1	-1.90	14.5	17.7	-3.23
Gilbert Arenas	79	82	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.46	-10	8	-18	13.3	14.0	-0.67	15.4	13.6	1.78

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	40	41	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-9	20	15.1	15.0	0.20	14.0	13.1	0.82
Travis Outlaw	60	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-7	16	14.2	16.2	-2.05	14.2	12.3	1.91
LaMarcus Aldridge	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.51	0	2	-2	15.3	13.8	1.52	13.1	15.1	-1.93
Sergio Rodriguez	45	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-5	12	15.1	14.9	0.19	13.8	13.2	0.66
Brandon Roy	77	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.47	-3	5	-8	15.4	14.0	1.42	13.2	14.3	-1.13
Dan Dickau	1	1	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	1	0	0.0	15.2	-15.18	6.0	13.5	-7.55
Fred Jones	25	25	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	-3	8	14.0	15.4	-1.42	14.3	13.2	1.13
Jarrett Jack	57	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	7	-12	14.9	15.1	-0.19	13.2	13.8	-0.66
Ime Udoka	62	59	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.13	-9	11	-20	15.0	15.1	-0.20	13.1	14.0	-0.82
Jamaal Magloire	60	57	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	8	-14	15.7	14.0	1.71	13.3	13.7	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.45,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.28,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.72,1	91.3%
CLE 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.57,0.72,1	91.2%
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	91.1%