NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	9.1 [132]		MVP	Enes Kanter (NYK): +25.1%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	16.6 [125]		LVP	Ron Baker (NYK): -21.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	17	65%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	28	50%	0.19	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	7	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.06	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	8	19%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.15	0.00	-0.15	-0.00	15	50%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21	-0.03	-0.18	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	8	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.05
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	87%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,0.08	0.08	-0.10	0.15	-0.03	12	34%	0.19	2	-0.10	5	80%	-0.04
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	4	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.03	-0.02	16	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	25.0	15.7	23.3	1.8	31.2	123.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +11.1%

DET +19.0%

NYK -11.5%

DET +25.2%

DET +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	15.9	14.7	105.2	110.6	107.5
season	14.9	14.9		105.9	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		106.3	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	13.2	15.6	13.6	14.4
DET	16.6	17.6	15.0	14.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	61	60	0.78	-1.28	2.07	0.28	17	-20	37	15.0	13.4	1.57	15.0	17.6	-2.59
Lance Thomas	71	70	0.37	-0.87	1.25	-0.01	13	-16	29	14.4	14.4	-0.06	15.3	17.7	-2.44
Courtney Lee	69	68	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.24	12	-15	27	14.4	14.3	0.09	15.0	18.3	-3.23
Kristaps Porzingis	77	77	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-16	29	14.2	15.0	-0.75	15.6	17.4	-1.80
Joakim Noah	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-5	7	9.3	14.7	-5.40	18.3	15.8	2.56
Jarrett Jack	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-6	9	14.3	14.6	-0.26	14.6	18.2	-3.56
Frank Ntilikina	38	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	3	-9	14.6	14.3	0.26	18.2	14.6	3.56
Kyle O'Quinn	22	20	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	15	-33	14.8	14.3	0.55	18.0	15.4	2.62
Ron Baker	21	21	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.28	-15	12	-27	15.0	14.2	0.71	17.5	15.5	1.98
Doug McDermott	31	30	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.50	-17	14	-31	14.0	14.6	-0.58	18.1	14.9	3.23
Michael Beasley	26	24	-1.03	0.53	-1.55	-0.47	-19	16	-35	14.3	14.4	-0.12	17.2	15.5	1.76

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	82	83	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-11	25	15.5	19.1	-3.61	14.5	13.8	0.64
Stanley Johnson	37	40	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.43	9	-6	15	16.8	15.4	1.44	14.0	14.7	-0.64
Luke Kennard	32	34	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-13	29	17.3	15.2	2.09	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Eric Moreland	39	40	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-8	19	18.5	14.1	4.45	14.1	14.6	-0.46
Ish Smith	36	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-4	11	17.3	15.1	2.17	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Reggie Jackson	58	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.31	-4	7	-11	15.1	17.3	-2.17	14.6	14.0	0.62
Reggie Bullock	62	62	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.25	-13	16	-29	15.2	17.3	-2.09	14.5	14.1	0.39
Anthony Tolliver	70	70	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.25	-15	18	-33	15.8	16.4	-0.59	14.5	14.1	0.38
Andre Drummond	54	55	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.15	-10	13	-23	14.4	18.1	-3.72	14.6	14.1	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.78,0.69,0.37,0.33,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.33,0.26,1	88.4%
ORL 110, ATL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.28,1	88.0%
MEM 105, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.43,0.26,1	87.9%