NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	8.4 [185]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +55.4%
Denver Nuggets	99		Comeback	7.8 [202]		LVP	J.R. Smith (DEN): -33.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.55	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.55	0.26	0.32	0.02	26	69%	0.58	1	-0.02	12	100%	0.15
Jason Terry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.25,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.17	-0.01	15	52%	0.23	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	7	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Singleton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	28%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	7	30%	-0.17	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29	-0.23	-0.07	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.47	0.47	0.04	0.43	-0.00	16	56%	0.55	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.12
Nene	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.13	0.02	10	74%	0.25	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.01	5	76%	0.21	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0,0,0,0.19	0.19	-0.01	0.19	-0.01	12	50%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	8	83%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	7	31%	-0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	6	29%	-0.10	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.25	-0.11	-0.02	14	7%	-0.24	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	32.1	15.8	28.0	1.7	36.4	144.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +17.1%

DEN +25.3%

DEN +8.4%

DAL -3.6%

DEN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	13.8	15.5	98.0	100.0	106.4
season	15.6	14.4		108.9	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	16.0	14.0	16.9	15.3
DEN	12.2	10.6	14.8	19.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	50	52	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	1	-4	14.6	16.0	-1.40	13.5	14.2	-0.71
James Singleton	0	1	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	0.0	15.3	-15.27	7.0	13.9	-6.89
DeSagana Diop	22	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-1	0	17.0	14.8	2.22	11.9	14.3	-2.40
Antoine Wright	55	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-7	12	14.4	16.3	-1.88	15.7	11.1	4.56
Devean George	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	4	-10	16.8	14.8	1.97	11.6	14.5	-2.93
Jason Kidd	60	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.32	4	-6	10	14.4	16.5	-2.09	14.8	12.3	2.52
Jason Terry	74	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.54	10	-12	22	15.8	13.7	2.08	14.3	12.6	1.74
Dirk Nowitzki	87	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.52	7	-9	16	14.9	17.7	-2.72	14.4	10.4	4.03
Jose Juan Barea	48	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	7	-16	16.5	14.1	2.42	12.0	15.4	-3.44
Gerald Green	38	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	8	-18	13.9	16.1	-2.19	11.7	15.1	-3.42
Brandon Bass	38	39	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	2	-6	16.3	14.6	1.65	14.5	13.3	1.19

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	63	65	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.67	3	-1	4	13.6	14.1	-0.50	14.0	17.8	-3.80
Chris Andersen	46	45	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.50	6	-4	10	13.2	14.4	-1.24	16.7	14.1	2.56
Anthony Carter	67	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	3	-4	13.7	14.0	-0.31	16.2	13.3	2.84
Nene	76	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	13.4	15.2	-1.82	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Chauncey Billups	71	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	6	-10	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.2	15.5	-0.32
J.R. Smith	68	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-5	12	14.6	12.2	2.37	14.6	16.6	-2.00
Linas Kleiza	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-4	10	12.8	14.6	-1.75	17.6	13.7	3.91
Kenyon Martin	62	62	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	7	-12	14.8	12.2	2.56	14.4	16.8	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.33,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.56,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.43,0.26,1	90.2%
WAS 74, POR 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.45,0.26,1	90.2%
NJN 101, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.27,1	89.8%