NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	8.3 [225]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): +86.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	23.1 [91]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (LAC): -21.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.37,0.3	0.12	0.18	0.00	11	71%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04
Jason Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	0.00	5	47%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Marcus Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.13	-0.07	0.03	18	73%	0.19	5	-0.16	9	56%	-0.09
Josh Boone	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.86	0.86	0.09	0.76	-0.00	10	71%	0.88	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	50%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.09,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	13	92%	0.08
James Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	13	52%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	6	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	-0.00	8	39%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.5	30.1	19.7	32.1	3.5	39.6	156.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -3.1%

LAC +11.7%

LAC +8.0%

LAC +18.4%

LAC +15.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAC	NBA	NJN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.4	107.4	107.4	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		103.1	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.7		103.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.3	14.3	16.2	14.1	15.4
LAC	14.2	12.8	15.1	18.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hassan Adams	24	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-1	1	15.7	15.3	0.32	16.2	14.6	1.52
Jason Collins	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-10	19	16.2	14.7	1.47	17.6	12.7	4.96
Josh Boone	18	18	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	5	-11	14.2	15.7	-1.56	12.2	15.7	-3.56
Mikki Moore	68	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	1	-3	15.5	15.2	0.38	14.4	16.7	-2.31
Clifford Robinson	42	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	7	-15	15.6	15.2	0.39	13.5	16.4	-2.89
Vince Carter	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	15.7	14.7	1.01	16.2	12.6	3.60
Eddie House	27	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	8	-17	14.7	15.7	-1.01	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Bostjan Nachbar	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.42	4	-5	9	16.0	14.6	1.35	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Jason Kidd	67	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.48	5	-6	11	15.3	15.7	-0.34	15.5	14.0	1.47
Marcus Williams	59	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	4	-9	14.4	17.1	-2.69	14.5	16.0	-1.50

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	56	52	1.19	-0.69	1.87	0.86	11	-10	21	13.2	17.8	-4.61	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Sam Cassell	57	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.58	-1	2	-3	16.0	13.6	2.41	15.5	15.3	0.19
Corey Maggette	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	1	-1	14.5	16.1	-1.57	14.7	16.7	-2.01
Cuttino Mobley	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.43	-5	6	-11	16.4	11.9	4.53	15.9	14.3	1.62
Elton Brand	72	72	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.34	-3	4	-7	15.5	13.7	1.85	15.8	14.3	1.51
Chris Kaman	50	52	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	-1	3	15.7	14.3	1.45	15.9	14.8	1.11
Shaun Livingston	50	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	-6	13	13.5	16.8	-3.32	15.1	15.8	-0.74
James Singleton	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	3	-5	15.0	15.1	-0.05	9.5	15.7	-6.19
Quinton Ross	58	57	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.25	-4	5	-9	15.2	14.8	0.35	15.8	14.9	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.42,1	91.5%
GSW 125, MIA 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.54,0.81,0.45,0.32,0.09,1	91.4%
DEN 93, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.74,0.61,0.54,0.76,0.42,1	91.1%