NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	8.8 [170]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (ATL): +32.6%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	2.6 [538]		LVP	Shelvin Mack (ORL): -17.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.31,0.31	0.24	0.09	0.01	18	84%	0.43	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	24	60%	0.40	2	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	42%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	7	56%	-0.02	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.30	0.07	0.05	9	113%	0.33	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.10
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.18	0.01	12	73%	0.34	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.00	8	78%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	81%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	19	41%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	26.8	8.7	23.9	1.8	31.5	118.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -5.6%

ATL +22.6%

ATL +8.7%

ATL +25.9%

ORL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	14.7	114.6	121.9	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		104.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.5	14.0	14.0	15.5	15.0
ATL	14.8	14.2	16.0	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Hezonja	60	61	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.10	8	-15	23	14.8	15.3	-0.54	15.9	13.5	2.34
Wes Iwundu	52	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	15.8	13.9	1.91	14.4	15.7	-1.33
Nikola Vucevic	76	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-6	5	14.0	18.8	-4.84	15.5	13.1	2.44
Bismack Biyombo	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	18.8	14.0	4.84	13.1	15.5	-2.44
Shelvin Mack	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.38	2	-9	11	14.9	15.1	-0.19	15.5	14.6	0.90
Arron Afflalo	50	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	5	-17	15.2	14.7	0.57	16.1	13.9	2.23
Elfrid Payton	50	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	3	-13	14.4	15.6	-1.19	14.7	15.3	-0.61
D.J. Augustin	56	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-6	5	14.8	15.2	-0.48	14.1	16.4	-2.35
Jonathon Simmons	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	6	-19	14.9	15.1	-0.14	14.6	15.9	-1.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	55	57	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.36	10	-3	13	15.5	14.5	0.99	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Taurean Prince	67	67	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-6	19	15.0	15.0	-0.00	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Ersan Ilyasova	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-4	15	15.4	14.5	0.83	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Miles Plumlee	32	31	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	3	1	16.1	14.5	1.64	15.0	15.0	0.05
Dennis Schroder	72	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	3	1	15.0	15.0	0.04	14.4	16.6	-2.26
Luke Babbitt	32	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	1	5	13.2	16.0	-2.81	15.7	14.6	1.11
DeAndre' Bembry	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	13	-19	13.6	16.5	-2.85	13.7	16.1	-2.40
Isaiah Taylor	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	6	-5	14.9	15.1	-0.16	16.9	14.3	2.54
Marco Belinelli	44	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	15.3	14.8	0.53	15.5	14.5	1.06
Tyler Cavanaugh	51	53	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.21	-7	14	-21	15.8	14.1	1.69	15.3	14.6	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 80, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	91.4%
PHX 120, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.83,0.67,0.52,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.53,1	90.5%
IND 95, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.58,1	90.2%