inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 93 Excitement6.4 [590] MVPMichael Beasley (NYK): +31.3%
New York Knicks 102 Comeback4.8 [204] LVPKristaps Porzingis (NYK): -20.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.050.001071%0.153-0.05475%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.060.12-0.020.042757%0.101-0.032100%0.00
Abdel Nader0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00560%0.081-0.0500%0.00
Daniel Theis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.02-0.02839%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Aron Baynes0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01440%0.0100.002100%0.01
Kadeem Allen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011043%0.011-0.023100%0.01
Semi Ojeleye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00267%0.011-0.02250%-0.03
Guerschon Yabusele-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Al Horford-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011238%-0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Terry Rozier-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.05-0.00719%-0.081-0.05250%-0.02

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.310.310.100.20-0.022070%0.465-0.15683%0.04
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.07-0.01457%0.1000.00667%-0.00
Frank Ntilikina0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.08-0.020.06-0.03580%0.124-0.0400%0.00
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.040.021064%0.111-0.032100%0.01
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.01570%0.0400.0000%0.00
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.05-0.010.01480%0.031-0.012100%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.010.02950%0.001-0.036100%0.02
Ron Baker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.0210%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.030.001055%0.032-0.062100%0.01
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.21-0.03-0.03114%-0.152-0.06250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.828.617.325.53.336.7138.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +27.5%
NYK +17.5%
NYK +14.0%
BOS -11.2%
NYK +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSNYKNBABOSNYKNBA
this game15.115.514.797.9109.7107.5
season15.114.9106.4105.9
opponent14.514.7109.3103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.114.017.114.515.1
NYK18.515.514.913.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes41420.07-0.570.630.10-1-8716.514.12.4116.414.81.51
Guerschon Yabusele970.03-0.530.55-0.032-111311.815.5-3.6919.715.24.53
Kadeem Allen220.01-0.510.510.010-998.515.3-6.765.015.8-10.76
Al Horford6262-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-8715.414.70.6916.114.41.76
Marcus Smart6667-0.20-0.300.10-0.09-4-5115.214.80.4115.715.10.57
Jayson Tatum6767-0.24-0.260.03-0.06-6-3-315.015.3-0.2415.415.8-0.44
Kyrie Irving7572-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-6-3-314.816.3-1.5015.416.0-0.55
Abdel Nader2423-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.12-7-2-515.315.00.2914.415.9-1.45
Daniel Theis3533-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.18-7-2-514.815.3-0.4514.516.1-1.57
Semi Ojeleye3735-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.35-5-4-115.514.90.6516.415.01.35
Terry Rozier5755-0.610.11-0.71-0.31-101-1114.815.6-0.7714.716.7-1.96

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Beasley50520.81-0.311.110.2818-92713.917.4-3.5215.115.2-0.09
Doug McDermott56570.78-0.281.070.3714-51915.016.3-1.2314.615.8-1.17
Frank Ntilikina49500.74-0.240.980.3613-41715.116.0-0.8514.316.1-1.81
Kyle O'Quinn48480.68-0.180.860.3910-11115.016.1-1.0515.514.70.86
Ron Baker42440.490.010.470.2872514.916.0-1.0914.315.8-1.53
Courtney Lee54540.020.48-0.47-0.1354115.315.9-0.6415.514.60.89
Enes Kanter4244-0.180.68-0.87-0.07-413-1717.014.32.7715.015.2-0.22
Jarrett Jack4445-0.240.74-0.98-0.12-413-1716.015.10.8516.114.31.81
Lance Thomas3738-0.280.78-1.07-0.14-514-1916.315.01.2315.814.61.17
Kristaps Porzingis4343-0.310.81-1.11-0.04-918-2717.413.93.5215.215.10.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 89, DAL 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,192.8%
WAS 72, MIA 790.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,1,192.7%
CHI 91, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,192.1%