inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 89 Excitement6.4 [576] MVPJ.J. Barea (DAL): +17.6%
Dallas Mavericks 95 Comeback2.9 [201] LVPDevin Harris (DAL): -12.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.140.170.010.041181%0.1400.00475%-0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.011254%0.0200.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.03850%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Davis Bertans0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.02-0.00833%-0.0100.00250%-0.02
Brandon Paul-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%-0.021-0.0220%-0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.040,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.012344%0.033-0.07683%0.00
Tony Parker-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01932%-0.031-0.0110%-0.03
Manu Ginobili-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.010.02536%-0.0500.00475%-0.01
Pau Gasol-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.0020%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Danny Green-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.04-0.00625%-0.052-0.0600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.180.180.080.09-0.011167%0.191-0.022100%0.00
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.050.10-0.00767%0.171-0.02450%-0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.04-0.051553%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.011457%0.0800.0000%0.00
Salah Mejri0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.02-0.001750%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Antonius Cleveland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00830%-0.0600.004100%0.02
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.05-0.01925%-0.081-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.91.727.214.825.81.528.2121.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +42.6%
DAL +1.7%
SAS -0.2%
DAL +6.3%
SAS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game16.114.414.794.7100.0107.5
season15.515.4106.7105.3
opponent14.314.5108.1104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.715.017.015.916.1
DAL15.313.213.715.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard34340.21-0.710.92-0.038-142215.716.3-0.6413.614.8-1.26
Dejounte Murray99-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-91210.916.7-5.7819.013.95.12
Brandon Paul89-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-4215.116.2-1.0812.014.6-2.62
LaMarcus Aldridge7475-0.08-0.420.34-0.235-111615.717.7-2.0715.111.73.38
Joffrey Lauvergne1111-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-3015.316.2-0.9613.114.5-1.44
Danny Green4947-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-7816.515.70.8612.915.8-2.83
Davis Bertans76-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-4219.915.84.0415.214.30.85
Tony Parker4847-0.16-0.340.17-0.191-7816.615.61.0813.515.2-1.74
Pau Gasol4746-0.17-0.330.16-0.14-1-5416.815.41.3812.516.1-3.62
Manu Ginobili5052-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-60-615.616.7-1.1515.013.61.40
Patty Mills4648-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-71-815.616.6-1.0815.213.51.74
Bryn Forbes3839-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.16-115-1617.715.12.6315.013.91.03
Rudy Gay4952-0.730.23-0.97-0.26-1610-2616.116.1-0.0315.513.02.54

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.J. Barea50490.59-0.090.690.368-21013.615.2-1.6216.216.00.22
Yogi Ferrell70690.57-0.070.640.319-31214.813.31.4816.116.00.10
Dwight Powell36360.420.080.340.188-21011.616.1-4.5317.415.32.06
Devin Harris38380.280.220.050.1060612.815.4-2.5417.215.41.84
Maxi Kleber58570.220.28-0.050.1915-416.411.25.1215.517.1-1.63
Harrison Barnes67670.170.33-0.160.1415-415.511.63.8615.517.7-2.23
Dirk Nowitzki54530.090.41-0.310.0906-612.816.4-3.6417.114.82.33
Wesley Matthews69680.090.41-0.320.18-39-1215.112.32.8415.617.5-1.91
Salah Mejri16150.070.43-0.350.0415-419.213.45.8715.316.3-1.01
Antonius Cleveland1718-0.010.51-0.520.02-17-810.415.2-4.8915.016.4-1.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, LAL 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.99,1,1,194.5%
PHI 82, SEA 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,192.9%
BOS 93, NYK 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,192.8%