NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	72		Excitement	6.1 [569]		MVP	Rasual Butler (MIA): +16.6%
Miami Heat	79		Comeback	3.1 [643]		LVP	Lamar Odom (MIA): -20.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juan Dixon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Christian Laettner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.05	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	16	48%	0.05	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	17	39%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Jarvis Hayes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	14	46%	0.03	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	6	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.03	10	45%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	16	54%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	14	35%	-0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	15	33%	-0.08	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.9	14.7	21.1	2.6	24.2	118.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +22.6%

MIA +5.5%

MIA +1.5%

MIA +20.1%

MIA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIA	NBA	WAS	MIA	NBA
this game	16.7	16.1	15.7	80.9	90.8	100.5
season	15.2	16.2		96.4	99.3
opponent	15.9	15.3		98.8	102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	17.3	16.6	16.7	16.7
MIA	13.8	16.1	17.7	16.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	21	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-5	3	14.7	17.3	-2.55	13.5	16.8	-3.32
Brendan Haywood	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-5	3	16.4	16.7	-0.31	14.1	16.6	-2.54
Jared Jeffries	61	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-8	9	16.8	16.5	0.29	16.6	14.8	1.84
Etan Thomas	60	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-8	9	16.5	17.1	-0.60	16.4	15.4	0.98
Steve Blake	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-6	5	16.9	16.2	0.75	16.9	14.4	2.48
Larry Hughes	70	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-4	1	16.9	15.9	0.91	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Jarvis Hayes	63	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	16.7	16.6	0.12	17.0	13.8	3.21
Kwame Brown	28	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	1	-9	16.5	16.8	-0.29	14.8	16.6	-1.84
Christian Laettner	34	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	2	-11	17.1	16.4	0.69	14.9	16.8	-1.83
Juan Dixon	28	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	17.1	16.5	0.65	16.3	15.9	0.34

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	49	49	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-3	13	15.2	17.1	-1.86	16.1	17.3	-1.20
Dwyane Wade	74	75	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-2	11	16.5	13.4	3.14	17.1	14.5	2.57
Lamar Odom	80	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.32	5	2	3	15.9	18.0	-2.11	16.2	21.6	-5.33
Rasual Butler	19	19	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.23	6	1	5	17.4	15.7	1.74	18.3	16.2	2.10
Brian Grant	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	3	1	16.1	15.8	0.31	16.6	16.9	-0.30
Loren Woods	24	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	4	-1	15.8	16.1	-0.31	16.9	16.6	0.30
Eddie Jones	64	65	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	8	-9	15.9	16.6	-0.75	16.3	17.7	-1.49
Caron Butler	43	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	3	1	16.7	15.4	1.27	17.2	16.0	1.17
Udonis Haslem	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	12	-17	14.9	16.4	-1.49	16.6	16.7	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 93, NYK 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1	92.7%
IND 100, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.96,0.85,0.99,1	92.3%
SAC 118, SEA 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.45,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.97,0.96,0.98,1	92.2%