NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	115		Excitement	8.9 [159]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +29.9%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	17.9 [70]		LVP	JJ Redick (PHI): -24.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.3	0.14	0.15	-0.01	19	64%	0.33	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Jerryd Bayless	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	9	53%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	61%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	5	83%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19	-0.05	-0.15	-0.00	18	46%	-0.10	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.08
JJ Redick	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.07	-0.16	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.26	0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.01	16	56%	0.34	2	-0.08	7	71%	0.04
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	4	83%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	14	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.02	14	73%	0.29	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	10	52%	-0.00	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	25.3	14.4	26.6	1.8	36.0	129.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +12.2%

CHI +19.1%

CHI +4.8%

CHI +11.2%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	13.1	13.6	14.7	106.5	108.3	107.5
season	13.9	14.2		108.1	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		110.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.8	13.5	14.2	11.8	13.1
CHI	12.9	12.2	13.5	15.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	43	42	0.45	-0.95	1.40	0.19	9	-11	20	12.3	13.6	-1.36	14.5	13.0	1.56
Jerryd Bayless	49	49	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.22	6	-8	14	12.0	14.0	-2.04	13.0	14.1	-1.05
T.J. McConnell	70	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.26	6	-8	14	12.6	13.9	-1.27	13.9	13.0	0.97
Amir Johnson	34	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	2	-6	13.1	13.1	0.02	12.1	14.3	-2.21
Richaun Holmes	48	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	1	-4	14.0	12.4	1.59	14.1	13.2	0.88
Dario Saric	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	12.8	13.6	-0.72	13.4	13.9	-0.51
Ben Simmons	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	13.2	12.7	0.53	13.5	13.8	-0.33
Robert Covington	67	69	-1.04	0.54	-1.58	-0.75	-10	8	-18	13.7	12.1	1.61	14.1	12.7	1.45
JJ Redick	78	79	-1.23	0.73	-1.96	-0.70	-18	16	-34	13.6	11.6	1.99	13.3	14.5	-1.22

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	87	86	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.50	12	-10	22	12.7	17.2	-4.53	13.3	12.0	1.35
Lauri Markkanen	59	56	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.66	4	-2	6	12.9	14.4	-1.42	13.7	12.3	1.40
Nikola Mirotic	58	61	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-6	14	14.2	12.9	1.33	12.3	14.1	-1.75
Kris Dunn	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.45	7	-5	12	12.9	15.3	-2.36	13.3	12.6	0.69
David Nwaba	60	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-4	10	13.2	14.0	-0.77	12.3	14.1	-1.84
Robin Lopez	50	48	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-3	8	13.1	14.0	-0.88	14.0	12.4	1.59
Denzel Valentine	47	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	6	-10	14.3	13.0	1.29	14.1	12.3	1.84
Jerian Grant	30	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.01	-5	7	-12	15.3	12.9	2.36	12.6	13.3	-0.69
Paul Zipser	22	22	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.06	-10	12	-22	16.5	12.9	3.59	12.0	13.3	-1.35
Bobby Portis	49	51	-0.61	1.11	-1.72	-0.23	-13	15	-28	14.1	13.2	0.97	12.4	13.7	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.78,0.96,1	92.2%
SAS 104, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.73,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.78,0.91,1	89.5%
TOR 100, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.76,0.96,1	88.7%