NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	96		Excitement	6.0 [642]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +31.2%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	59.2 [44]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (DAL): -35.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0.25	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.22	0.06	0.03	10	105%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	13	73%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	14	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonius Cleveland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	38%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
J.J. Barea	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	10	45%	-0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.35	-0.09	-0.29	-0.02	11	27%	-0.12	1	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.26	0.01	9	60%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2	0.20	0.03	0.17	0.01	18	55%	0.24	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	8	68%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	18%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	11	58%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.6	28.3	14.6	25.4	2.4	29.5	124.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +14.1%

SAS +0.8%

SAS +6.6%

SAS +27.4%

SAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.4	14.7	109.1	111.4	107.5
season	15.4	15.5		105.3	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.3		104.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.8	18.0	15.9	17.6	17.3
SAS	15.8	13.9	16.8	15.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	7	7	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-13	24	16.4	17.4	-0.97	18.3	15.2	3.13
Devin Harris	32	34	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-5	8	18.8	16.5	2.35	14.6	15.9	-1.24
Antonius Cleveland	2	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	2	-6	25.5	17.1	8.37	14.0	15.4	-1.44
J.J. Barea	47	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	0	-2	17.9	16.6	1.33	14.3	16.7	-2.39
Dirk Nowitzki	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-6	10	17.8	16.8	0.99	15.3	15.5	-0.15
Yogi Ferrell	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-4	6	16.9	19.1	-2.23	16.0	12.9	3.13
Maxi Kleber	64	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	4	-10	16.5	19.4	-2.89	16.0	14.0	2.03
Dwight Powell	32	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	4	-10	18.0	16.9	1.02	14.5	16.0	-1.48
Harrison Barnes	68	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.45	-1	-1	0	16.8	19.1	-2.31	16.0	13.7	2.30
Wesley Matthews	72	71	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.45	-11	9	-20	17.1	18.1	-0.99	15.1	16.8	-1.75

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	42	41	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.52	13	-11	24	15.0	15.8	-0.78	17.7	17.0	0.77
Patty Mills	43	41	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.64	6	-4	10	15.0	15.8	-0.71	17.9	16.8	1.09
Davis Bertans	48	47	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-15	32	14.7	16.2	-1.50	18.5	16.0	2.51
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.54	-3	5	-8	15.6	14.9	0.68	16.9	18.4	-1.51
Bryn Forbes	60	63	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	3	-4	15.4	15.3	0.13	16.8	18.6	-1.79
Darrun Hilliard	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	-2	6	16.7	15.2	1.46	15.5	17.6	-2.18
Derrick White	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	2	-2	0.0	15.4	-15.41	3.0	17.5	-14.48
Dejounte Murray	44	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	2	-2	15.2	15.6	-0.32	17.1	17.5	-0.42
Brandon Paul	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.22	-10	12	-22	14.4	15.8	-1.35	17.4	17.3	0.08
Joffrey Lauvergne	24	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.15	2	0	2	15.3	15.4	-0.10	18.6	16.8	1.85
Pau Gasol	26	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.05	-10	12	-22	17.3	14.6	2.69	16.3	17.7	-1.43
Rudy Gay	52	51	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.03	-8	10	-18	15.8	14.9	0.93	17.4	17.2	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.15,0.25,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.23,1	92.8%
POR 86, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.23,0.27,1	91.1%
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	91.0%