NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	6.3 [562]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +40.5%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	27.9 [85]		LVP	Elton Brand (PHI): -19.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	73%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	8	33%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Spencer Hawes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	38%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	12	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	3	90%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.19	-0.04	-0.17	-0.03	16	46%	-0.13	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.41	0.41	0.00	0.39	-0.02	15	43%	0.41	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.03	12	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	8	68%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.16
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	15	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	25.4	16.6	26.5	2.8	37.0	134.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.2%

ATL +20.1%

ATL +0.9%

ATL +8.7%

PHI -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.5	92.6	98.9	105.7
season	15.5	16.5		104.6	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.2	15.3	13.3	18.5	15.0
ATL	15.1	16.0	16.7	14.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	39	39	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.11	4	-9	13	14.9	15.0	-0.16	15.4	15.6	-0.26
Spencer Hawes	42	42	0.23	-0.73	0.95	-0.04	9	-14	23	13.3	16.3	-2.93	16.5	14.7	1.79
Marreese Speights	28	28	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-3	1	14.3	15.3	-0.97	15.0	15.7	-0.78
Thaddeus Young	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-10	15	15.1	14.9	0.14	16.0	15.2	0.78
Jason Kapono	1	1	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-3	1	6.0	15.1	-9.06	2.0	15.7	-13.66
Tony Battie	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	17.6	13.8	3.82	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Jodie Meeks	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-5	5	13.5	16.1	-2.52	15.6	15.4	0.16
Jrue Holiday	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	2	-9	15.6	14.1	1.53	15.9	15.0	0.90
Lou Williams	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.43	-4	-1	-3	15.0	15.0	0.03	15.0	16.1	-1.03
Elton Brand	75	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	6	-17	15.5	13.1	2.30	15.2	16.6	-1.38
Andre Iguodala	77	76	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	7	-19	15.1	14.6	0.51	15.6	15.2	0.36

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	65	66	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.33	16	-11	27	15.1	16.5	-1.41	15.6	13.6	2.04
Zaza Pachulia	50	50	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.30	16	-11	27	14.9	16.2	-1.30	15.9	13.9	1.97
Jamal Crawford	69	70	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.27	17	-12	29	15.3	16.2	-0.94	15.4	13.7	1.69
Mike Bibby	56	57	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.45	9	-4	13	15.7	15.3	0.42	15.0	14.9	0.08
Al Horford	70	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	0	5	15.9	14.4	1.47	14.7	15.8	-1.05
Josh Powell	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.5	0.07	15.2	14.9	0.30
Jeff Teague	38	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.10	-4	9	-13	15.3	15.7	-0.42	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Josh Smith	54	54	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.00	-10	15	-25	15.6	15.4	0.15	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Maurice Evans	54	54	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	0.11	-23	28	-51	16.4	14.4	1.98	13.6	16.7	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.15,0.25,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.23,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 88, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,1	92.8%
DAL 96, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,1	92.8%
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	92.3%