NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	9.5 [102]		MVP	Isaiah Canaan (PHX): +52.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	7.7 [26]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): -29.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.53	0.07	0.45	-0.01	5	83%	0.65	4	-0.12	8	100%	0.19
Dragan Bender	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.14	0.12	-0.01	10	85%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.09	0.02	8	89%	0.29	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.04
Danuel House	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	89%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
TJ Warren	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	14	42%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.08
Tyler Ulis	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.11	-0.06	17	61%	0.30	1	0.00	12	83%	-0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.00	3	125%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	14	60%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	14	59%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	16	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.04,-0.3	-0.30	-0.13	-0.19	-0.02	18	28%	-0.24	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	31.4	14.5	29.3	0.2	36.3	136.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -12.0%

PHX +94.2%

PHX +21.4%

MIN -62.1%

PHX +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	14.7	111.3	109.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.3		102.6	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.2	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.3	11.6	16.8	17.2	14.7
MIN	14.5	14.7	15.9	14.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	54	54	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.36	20	-18	38	15.6	13.7	1.88	15.5	14.2	1.33
Troy Daniels	55	55	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.32	19	-17	36	14.7	14.8	-0.03	15.9	13.7	2.22
Danuel House	29	28	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.33	17	-15	32	14.2	15.0	-0.71	16.3	14.4	1.88
Dragan Bender	59	57	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.18	22	-20	42	14.6	14.9	-0.34	16.1	13.2	2.89
Isaiah Canaan	54	53	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-17	36	14.2	15.4	-1.26	15.7	14.1	1.57
Jared Dudley	5	5	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-5	12	10.4	15.0	-4.58	11.0	15.2	-4.16
TJ Warren	64	65	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	13	-24	15.3	13.7	1.58	14.4	16.0	-1.57
Tyler Ulis	43	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.32	-17	19	-36	15.4	14.2	1.26	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Josh Jackson	46	46	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.26	-21	23	-44	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.7	16.1	-2.34
Tyson Chandler	43	43	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	20	-38	13.7	15.6	-1.88	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Marquese Chriss	33	35	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	0.23	-27	29	-56	15.6	14.3	1.36	13.6	15.7	-2.15

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Georges-Hunt	11	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-2	2	17.6	14.6	3.03	11.7	15.2	-3.51
Karl-Anthony Towns	84	82	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.56	13	-15	28	14.4	18.3	-3.88	14.8	14.3	0.56
Jeff Teague	70	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-8	14	14.8	15.4	-0.58	15.2	13.5	1.70
Jimmy Butler	76	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.54	10	-12	22	14.4	16.9	-2.50	15.0	13.8	1.20
Taj Gibson	81	80	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-2	2	14.5	17.3	-2.83	15.2	12.5	2.68
Andrew Wiggins	73	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	14.6	16.1	-1.56	15.5	12.6	2.89
Tyus Jones	27	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	6	-14	15.4	14.8	0.58	13.5	15.2	-1.70
Gorgui Dieng	29	32	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	15	-32	17.8	13.7	4.01	13.3	15.4	-2.09
Jamal Crawford	34	36	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.13	-17	15	-32	16.1	14.3	1.80	13.7	15.4	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, SAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.27,0	90.4%
DET 94, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.09,0	89.7%
PHI 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0	89.6%