NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	86		Excitement	7.1 [383]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +8.6%
San Antonio Spurs	83		Comeback	8.8 [37]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -27.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	13	68%	0.17	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	17	44%	0.04	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	9	44%	0.05	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.10	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	54%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	19	54%	-0.16	3	-0.06	14	57%	-0.07
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	15	31%	-0.25	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	30.2	18.8	31.0	2.7	35.2	144.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +56.9%

SAS -11.7%

NYK +16.8%

SAS -13.0%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAS	NBA	NYK	SAS	NBA
this game	16.8	16.7	15.5	98.9	97.6	100.9
season	16.4	15.9		99.2	103.4
opponent	15.5	16.1		96.5	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.7	17.3	15.1	17.0	16.8
SAS	15.0	15.4	18.4	18.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	16.6	18.4	-1.84	16.5	18.6	-2.08
Glen Rice	71	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	2	-1	17.3	14.4	2.96	16.3	18.7	-2.40
Larry Johnson	55	54	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.50	-6	9	-15	17.6	15.5	2.09	17.0	16.2	0.79
Allan Houston	70	68	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.29	1	2	-1	16.8	16.9	-0.11	16.6	17.1	-0.46
Luc Longley	29	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	-4	11	16.9	16.7	0.16	16.9	16.6	0.38
Chris Childs	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	1	1	16.3	17.3	-1.03	18.0	15.5	2.48
Kurt Thomas	26	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-6	15	16.8	16.8	-0.03	19.1	15.8	3.28
Marcus Camby	64	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	8	-13	16.1	18.7	-2.65	15.7	19.3	-3.62
Travis Knight	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	2	-1	0.0	16.8	-16.79	1.0	16.9	-15.88

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-3	3	17.3	16.3	1.01	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Ira Newble	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	18.9	16.2	2.64	17.2	16.7	0.49
Danny Ferry	5	4	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	0	-3	20.0	16.5	3.51	11.7	17.0	-5.29
Antonio Daniels	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	17.3	16.3	0.94	17.0	16.7	0.33
Terry Porter	20	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	1	-5	16.9	16.6	0.27	14.9	17.4	-2.52
Avery Johnson	52	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-2	1	16.5	17.0	-0.50	17.6	15.6	1.95
Sean Elliott	65	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	15.9	19.1	-3.21	17.0	16.1	0.95
David Robinson	52	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-5	7	16.2	17.5	-1.39	16.9	16.5	0.43
Derek Anderson	66	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-4	5	16.5	17.4	-0.87	16.7	17.1	-0.40
Tim Duncan	82	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	5	-13	16.8	14.3	2.45	16.7	17.7	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 85, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.44,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.36,0.23,0.16,0	92.8%
NJN 95, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.01,0.09,0	91.9%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	91.9%