NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	9.0 [135]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +9.8%
New Jersey Nets	87		Comeback	6.0 [97]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -85.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.1	0.02	0.09	0.01	24	57%	0.21	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	66%	0.06	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	71%	0.13	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	11	54%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.34,-0.44,-0.59	-0.17	-0.42	-0.00	12	23%	-0.45	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.06

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	11	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.06
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	0.00	17	52%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.03
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	11	46%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28	-0.28	-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.16,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.54,-0.86	-0.86	-0.30	-0.57	-0.02	26	41%	-0.33	12	-0.53	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	32.0	16.7	24.3	1.8	43.0	144.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +25.5%

NJN -1.7%

NJN -10.4%

PHI +42.6%

NJN -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	14.7	15.5	93.9	90.6	101.6
season	15.3	15.0		102.1	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.5		96.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	13.0	17.5	14.4	14.9
NJN	14.6	14.2	15.9	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	79	77	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-2	9	14.9	14.9	0.00	15.0	13.6	1.38
Allen Iverson	95	92	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-2	9	15.1	11.7	3.39	14.5	20.7	-6.27
Eric Snow	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	0	5	14.7	15.7	-0.97	14.2	17.1	-2.95
Aaron McKie	61	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	13.9	16.7	-2.86	14.8	14.6	0.19
Kenny Thomas	47	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	-8	21	14.6	15.3	-0.76	15.0	14.5	0.51
Keith Van Horn	48	51	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.21	-3	8	-11	15.9	14.1	1.77	15.5	13.8	1.68
Greg Buckner	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	4	-3	13.2	15.6	-2.34	15.0	14.6	0.36
Monty Williams	14	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	0	5	18.1	14.4	3.73	14.6	14.8	-0.14
Brian Skinner	19	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	7	-9	14.9	14.9	-0.00	15.1	14.7	0.39
Tyrone Hill	24	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	16	-27	16.9	14.3	2.61	13.9	15.0	-1.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	59	58	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-15	25	14.5	15.1	-0.64	15.9	13.5	2.45
Rodney Rogers	5	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	11.2	14.9	-3.73	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Aaron Williams	17	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	0	-5	16.6	14.3	2.32	14.1	15.2	-1.05
Lucious Harris	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	15.5	14.2	1.22	13.4	15.9	-2.54
Brian Scalabrine	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	18.3	13.8	4.50	15.4	14.8	0.61
Kenyon Martin	87	88	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-4	3	14.6	16.6	-2.00	15.0	14.4	0.61
Richard Jefferson	87	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	14.3	18.7	-4.33	15.1	13.3	1.78
Jason Kidd	91	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-3	1	14.4	20.6	-6.18	15.2	11.8	3.32
Kerry Kittles	75	78	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.42	-11	6	-17	14.5	15.6	-1.13	14.7	15.9	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0	91.5%
HOU 100, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.33,0.45,0.28,0.55,0.29,0	91.1%
DET 112, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.15,0	91.0%