NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	7.6 [299]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +32.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	6.9 [191]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -30.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.33	0.10	0.25	0.02	18	56%	0.33	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.09	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.04
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	8	54%	0.08	2	-0.18	8	62%	-0.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.31,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.11	0.01	16	76%	0.43	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.04
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	9	36%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.23	-0.03	14	36%	-0.09	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	30.3	15.7	30.1	1.8	36.3	140.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +28.5%

MIN -7.2%

POR +17.9%

POR +11.1%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	17.5	15.5	104.8	101.2	106.4
season	16.7	15.8		111.0	104.3
opponent	15.1	16.0		109.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.9	19.1	18.0	17.3	17.2
MIN	18.7	18.8	15.5	16.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Oden	41	43	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.40	13	-8	21	15.9	18.6	-2.68	17.0	18.0	-1.00
Travis Outlaw	55	54	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-5	15	16.8	18.1	-1.30	17.2	17.9	-0.72
Brandon Roy	72	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	17.1	18.4	-1.36	17.0	20.1	-3.08
Steve Blake	58	55	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.36	9	-4	13	16.9	17.9	-0.97	16.8	18.7	-1.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	51	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	5	-5	17.8	16.4	1.36	17.5	17.4	0.13
Nicolas Batum	18	16	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	5	-5	17.3	17.2	0.04	18.7	17.2	1.54
Ike Diogu	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	0.0	17.5	-17.46	11.0	17.5	-6.53
Sergio Rodriguez	25	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.03	-2	7	-9	17.8	17.0	0.84	18.8	16.8	1.99
Channing Frye	19	18	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	10	-15	17.4	17.2	0.15	18.6	17.1	1.49
Rudy Fernandez	42	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	8	-11	18.0	16.5	1.55	17.6	17.3	0.25
Joel Przybilla	38	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	11	-17	18.6	16.1	2.52	18.1	17.0	1.11

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Craig Smith	38	39	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.05	7	-12	19	17.7	17.3	0.39	18.5	16.2	2.31
Corey Brewer	40	41	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.07	4	-9	13	16.9	17.9	-0.98	16.7	17.8	-1.11
Jason Collins	24	23	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-7	9	18.2	17.1	1.07	15.8	17.8	-2.02
Sebastian Telfair	24	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-5	5	17.9	17.3	0.66	18.4	16.8	1.64
Rashad McCants	15	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	18.7	17.2	1.49	17.6	17.2	0.39
Kevin Ollie	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	20.1	17.2	2.94	16.3	17.3	-0.99
Ryan Gomes	47	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-2	-1	17.5	17.4	0.09	17.4	17.0	0.44
Mike Miller	55	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	2	-9	17.1	18.1	-1.04	17.5	16.6	0.87
Randy Foye	58	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.42	-5	0	-5	17.3	17.9	-0.66	16.8	18.4	-1.64
Al Jefferson	58	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.36	-7	2	-9	17.1	18.2	-1.07	17.8	15.8	2.02
Kevin Love	44	45	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.40	-12	7	-19	17.3	17.7	-0.39	16.2	18.5	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 123, PHI 120	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	91.7%
HOU 75, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	91.7%
PHI 92, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.42,0	91.5%