NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	6.0 [648]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +25.3%
New York Knicks	111		Comeback	1.7 [458]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (OKC): -21.8%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.02	0.13	-0.10	14	56%	0.29	2	-0.04	4	50%	0.08
Patrick Patterson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	6	100%	0.15	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	18	54%	0.14	4	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dakari Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Abrines	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	18	33%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.00	18	70%	0.29	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.01	9	72%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.05	0.03	12	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	5	110%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	75%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	29.4	14.7	29.7	2.4	36.5	138.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +54.1%

NYK +7.5%

OKC -8.4%

OKC -3.3%

NYK +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.3	16.4	14.7	105.5	122.0	107.5
season	14.2	14.9		109.4	105.9
opponent	14.5	15.3		109.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.4	16.9	15.9	13.0	15.3
NYK	17.3	14.4	15.4	18.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Abrines	15	14	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-18	21	15.9	15.2	0.76	19.0	15.9	3.13
Terrance Ferguson	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-14	13	17.9	14.9	3.06	16.8	16.3	0.55
Andre Roberson	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-13	11	15.9	14.8	1.13	14.8	17.7	-2.91
Dakari Johnson	27	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-12	9	15.6	15.2	0.42	15.1	16.9	-1.82
Russell Westbrook	68	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-11	7	14.8	16.7	-1.81	16.4	16.3	0.12
Nick Collison	18	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-11	7	15.2	15.3	-0.16	17.8	16.0	1.85
Carmelo Anthony	61	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-8	1	14.9	16.1	-1.15	16.4	16.2	0.21
Patrick Patterson	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-9	3	15.5	15.1	0.38	17.1	15.6	1.52
Josh Huestis	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-10	5	15.4	15.3	0.11	17.1	16.1	1.00
Jerami Grant	42	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	14.3	16.1	-1.83	16.7	16.1	0.63
Raymond Felton	29	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	16.2	14.9	1.34	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Paul George	71	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.02	-20	5	-25	15.1	16.1	-1.03	15.8	18.5	-2.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	45	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	-1	17	17.4	15.3	2.16	15.0	15.6	-0.64
Michael Beasley	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	2	11	16.1	17.4	-1.36	14.8	17.1	-2.22
Doug McDermott	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	2	11	16.9	15.2	1.76	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Jarrett Jack	66	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	2	11	16.1	16.9	-0.78	15.2	15.6	-0.36
Courtney Lee	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	4	7	16.5	16.1	0.33	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Lance Thomas	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	7	1	15.1	17.9	-2.80	16.0	14.4	1.61
Frank Ntilikina	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	13	-11	16.9	16.1	0.78	15.6	15.2	0.36
Ron Baker	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	14	-13	16.8	16.1	0.66	16.6	14.6	2.05
Enes Kanter	44	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	17	-19	15.8	16.8	-0.99	15.8	14.8	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 95, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	94.8%
CLE 94, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%