inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 104 Excitement6.9 [469] MVPReggie Bullock (DET): +15.0%
Indiana Pacers 98 Comeback1.4 [424] LVPTobias Harris (DET): -20.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Bullock0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.020.01883%0.1500.002100%0.01
Andre Drummond0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.040.011464%0.181-0.03862%-0.03
Langston Galloway0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.02-0.02961%0.1000.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.04-0.01675%0.131-0.0200%0.00
Luke Kennard0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.02-0.00675%0.0900.0000%0.00
Stanley Johnson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.05-0.00-0.021054%0.0600.004100%0.01
Eric Moreland0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.1-0.11-0.03-0.041133%-0.043-0.062100%0.03
Ish Smith-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.07-0.021225%-0.122-0.0500%0.00
Tobias Harris-0.200,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2-0.15-0.06-0.001421%-0.182-0.0310%-0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Myles Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.040.040.12-0.14-0.051467%0.071-0.04887%0.02
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.020.01955%0.0100.00450%-0.06
TJ Leaf0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.02862%0.104-0.1000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01-0.010.07-0.030.052253%0.011-0.025100%0.01
Domantas Sabonis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.03-0.00661%0.042-0.06650%-0.02
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0350%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14-0.14-0.07-0.10-0.031041%-0.072-0.072100%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.16-0.03-0.011118%-0.123-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.21.825.214.828.11.637.2129.9
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +35.1%
DET +7.4%
DET +1.2%
DET +16.6%
IND -10.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game15.615.014.7110.6104.3107.5
season14.914.8106.4108.3
opponent15.014.7106.7106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.115.412.818.515.6
IND15.913.417.213.715.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Langston Galloway35340.460.040.420.1411-51614.116.5-2.3917.013.93.05
Luke Kennard35350.400.100.31-0.1218-123015.315.8-0.5316.314.32.06
Eric Moreland33310.400.100.310.0811-51613.316.9-3.5715.714.71.08
Ish Smith48470.360.140.210.099-31215.415.8-0.3715.514.51.02
Anthony Tolliver40400.330.170.160.2433014.416.5-2.1614.615.3-0.73
Tobias Harris54540.170.33-0.160.0833016.514.42.1615.314.60.73
Reggie Jackson46470.140.36-0.210.23-39-1215.815.40.3714.515.5-1.02
Andre Drummond61630.100.40-0.310.24-511-1616.913.33.5714.715.7-1.08
Reggie Bullock63660.100.40-0.310.27-612-1816.413.92.5114.516.3-1.85
Stanley Johnson55530.040.46-0.420.36-1117-2815.815.30.5313.616.9-3.25

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
TJ Leaf88-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-4217.714.82.9812.215.9-3.68
Thaddeus Young7373-0.09-0.410.31-0.369-152414.118.2-4.0816.512.44.11
Lance Stephenson5555-0.12-0.380.26-0.4712-183014.116.4-2.3316.314.71.54
Darren Collison6060-0.17-0.330.150.06-82-1015.614.01.5515.815.30.55
Myles Turner6866-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.25-2-4214.915.3-0.4515.715.30.42
Victor Oladipo7473-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-6614.716.3-1.6215.715.50.18
Domantas Sabonis3233-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.13-104-1416.214.41.8214.516.2-1.65
Cory Joseph4949-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.34-5-1-415.015.0-0.0015.216.0-0.82
Bojan Bogdanovic5153-0.500.00-0.500.20-2418-4216.213.62.5714.816.7-1.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 91, MIA 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.17,093.0%
WAS 113, NYK 1100.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.42,092.7%
PHI 90, DET 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.28,092.6%