inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 113 Excitement7.2 [431] MVPOtto Porter (WAS): +30.4%
New York Knicks 110 Comeback1.5 [712] LVPBradley Beal (WAS): -16.0%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Otto Porter0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.30.210.08-0.011379%0.3000.003100%0.02
John Wall0.290,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0,0.290.080.220.012158%0.332-0.04875%0.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.070.01-0.01667%0.1000.003100%0.02
Jason Smith0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.01869%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Markieff Morris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.011164%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Tomas Satoransky0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Trey Burke-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00275%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Marcin Gortat-0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.020.001250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Bradley Beal-0.160,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.17-0.02-0.031331%-0.055-0.1100%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.010.01679%0.0900.002100%0.01
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.07-0.000.011070%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,0.050.050.040.010.001653%0.081-0.036100%0.03
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.011160%0.061-0.013100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.030.030.12-0.12-0.042756%0.071-0.04771%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.000.01642%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marshall Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00543%-0.031-0.01475%-0.01
Ron Baker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01437%0.053-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.827.117.426.53.330.6131.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +48.5%
WAS +7.8%
NYK -8.4%
WAS +0.6%
WAS +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASNYKNBAWASNYKNBA
this game15.414.714.8117.7115.8107.7
season14.415.0109.9106.6
opponent14.714.9110.0108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.416.616.017.415.4
NYK13.812.816.716.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wall74730.61-0.110.720.2911-81915.216.4-1.2014.615.0-0.31
Kelly Oubre Jr.50490.470.030.450.277-41115.215.7-0.5815.613.71.89
Otto Porter59590.390.110.280.3612-115.814.80.9814.714.70.03
Bradley Beal75740.390.110.270.3903-315.714.41.3515.113.31.77
Jason Smith47460.290.210.080.174-1515.515.40.1414.514.9-0.38
Marcin Gortat63610.290.210.080.029-61514.916.4-1.5014.215.7-1.50
Tomas Satoransky29290.140.36-0.220.0530315.015.6-0.6314.514.8-0.29
Markieff Morris69700.060.44-0.380.41-1215-2715.714.71.0714.714.9-0.22
Trey Burke1414-0.130.63-0.760.10-811-1916.215.30.9113.414.9-1.51

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Jennings45470.08-0.580.66-0.5120-234314.714.70.0316.814.22.60
Kyle O'Quinn44440.00-0.500.51-0.052-5714.215.2-1.0415.015.8-0.77
Justin Holiday4241-0.07-0.430.36-0.194-71114.714.7-0.0516.114.91.15
Ron Baker4040-0.13-0.370.240.02-52-714.415.0-0.5915.615.30.28
Marshall Plumlee2122-0.21-0.290.080.02-85-1315.014.60.3014.015.9-1.92
Carmelo Anthony6968-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-4515.013.91.0916.014.11.83
Mindaugas Kuzminskas3838-0.34-0.16-0.170.10-1512-2715.014.50.5213.416.7-3.29
Courtney Lee5759-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.41-1-2114.714.8-0.0815.615.20.36
Kristaps Porzingis5658-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.43-1-2114.714.7-0.0515.715.10.64
Derrick Rose6363-0.600.10-0.71-0.25-129-2114.814.60.1815.016.3-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.17,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 90, DET 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.28,093.1%
DET 104, IND 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.28,092.7%
NJN 81, NYK 780.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.15,092.0%