NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	81		Excitement	7.2 [374]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +2.6%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	1.6 [420]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -27.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.15,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	13	63%	0.14	4	-0.14	4	25%	-0.13
Brandon Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	56%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	59%	0.05	5	-0.13	14	79%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.35,-0.26	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	20	37%	-0.08	5	-0.19	6	83%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	69%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	17	45%	0.02	6	-0.22	6	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.12	-0.03	23	35%	-0.21	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	4.3	32.6	19.4	26.5	4.5	42.5	158.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +27.4%

NJN +15.8%

NJN +17.1%

NYK -15.5%

NJN +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	16.1	15.7	90.0	86.7	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		98.1	98.6
opponent	15.8	16.2		100.8	95.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.5	14.5	17.4	16.5	15.9
NYK	16.5	14.9	19.5	14.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	79	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-6	15	16.2	14.1	2.07	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Kenyon Martin	80	81	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-6	15	16.1	14.0	2.15	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Kerry Kittles	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	0	3	16.0	15.6	0.40	16.0	16.7	-0.77
Jason Kidd	79	80	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-3	9	16.3	13.5	2.80	16.5	12.4	4.15
Jason Collins	52	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	3	-3	16.6	15.0	1.53	16.0	16.2	-0.28
Lucious Harris	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	3	-3	14.5	16.5	-2.00	15.0	16.6	-1.61
Rodney Rogers	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	14.6	16.3	-1.69	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Aaron Williams	26	26	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	7	-11	15.0	16.3	-1.34	16.7	15.9	0.79
Brandon Armstrong	8	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	11	-19	14.2	16.1	-1.82	16.7	16.0	0.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	54	55	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-11	19	15.7	16.6	-0.87	16.5	14.9	1.58
Dikembe Mutombo	3	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	17.0	16.1	0.94	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Michael Sweetney	16	18	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	2	-7	17.1	15.9	1.18	12.8	16.7	-3.85
Vin Baker	29	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	3	-9	16.7	15.8	0.89	14.3	16.6	-2.31
Nazr Mohammed	61	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-6	9	15.8	16.7	-0.89	16.6	14.3	2.31
Kurt Thomas	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.49	5	-8	13	15.8	17.1	-1.22	16.7	13.0	3.68
Frank Williams	44	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	2	-7	16.0	16.2	-0.13	15.0	16.8	-1.78
Stephon Marbury	90	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	16.1	0.0	16.09	15.9	0.0	15.91
Anfernee Hardaway	82	81	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.34	-10	7	-17	16.4	13.4	2.98	16.0	15.2	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.08,0	93.2%
PHI 87, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.02,0.01,0	92.8%
PHI 105, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.6%