NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	6.6 [476]		MVP	Brad Miller (CHI): +8.1%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.6 [782]		LVP	Eric Williams (BOS): -14.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	11	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	65%	0.10	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	22	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.05
Eric Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	10	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Steve Goodrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	10	52%	-0.03	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	19	44%	-0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	16	56%	-0.03	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	34.3	15.7	25.2	2.4	34.3	139.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.3%

CHI -1.9%

BOS +9.2%

BOS +16.4%

BOS +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.5	115.2	111.8	100.9
season	15.1	16.4		99.7	95.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.9	15.4	14.0	15.3	15.4
CHI	15.1	15.2	16.5	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	53	50	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-8	18	14.7	16.4	-1.68	16.4	15.0	1.34
Antoine Walker	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	1	0	15.4	15.1	0.29	16.4	12.6	3.76
Paul Pierce	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	14.6	17.3	-2.67	15.8	15.6	0.16
Milt Palacio	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.8	-0.65	15.6	16.0	-0.39
Bryant Stith	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	2	-2	15.5	15.2	0.27	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Eric Williams	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.35	-3	5	-8	15.0	15.8	-0.76	14.5	17.1	-2.65
Randy Brown	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.01	3	-1	4	15.8	15.2	0.65	16.0	15.6	0.39
Walter McCarty	4	4	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-1	4	17.2	15.3	1.94	12.7	15.9	-3.13
Adrian Griffin	14	17	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	4	-6	18.4	14.9	3.50	16.8	15.5	1.32
Mark Blount	43	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	16.5	14.4	2.06	15.3	16.2	-0.90

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Benjamin	1	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	1	-4	25.0	15.6	9.36	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Fred Hoiberg	43	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.41	12	-14	26	16.1	15.4	0.74	15.7	15.1	0.69
Steve Goodrich	5	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	12.6	15.9	-3.32	12.0	15.5	-3.55
Jake Voskuhl	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	12.8	15.9	-3.11	18.6	15.2	3.39
A.J. Guyton	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-12	22	16.7	15.1	1.60	15.7	15.2	0.48
Elton Brand	72	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-8	14	15.3	17.3	-2.06	15.5	15.1	0.37
Brad Miller	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	4	-10	15.9	15.6	0.30	15.4	15.4	0.04
Metta World Peace	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	3	-8	15.4	16.2	-0.80	15.4	15.4	0.07
Jamal Crawford	56	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	10	-22	15.1	16.7	-1.60	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Marcus Fizer	63	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	16.4	14.4	2.03	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Ron Mercer	89	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.42	-5	3	-8	15.8	13.7	2.08	15.4	16.2	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SEA 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.02,0	93.5%
NJN 81, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.15,0	93.2%
CLE 103, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	92.7%