inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 91 Excitement6.3 [328] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +8.2%
Seattle SuperSonics 84 Comeback1.7 [373] LVPHersey Hawkins (SEA): -23.7%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.00-0.012064%0.173-0.09475%0.00
Derek Fisher0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01375%0.051-0.03250%-0.00
Rick Fox0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0-0.020.01-0.011050%0.021-0.0240%-0.06
Derek Harper-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
J.R. Reid-0.040,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00267%0.002-0.052100%0.01
Robert Horry-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02312%-0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Glen Rice-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.011025%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.140,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14-0.09-0.07-0.012449%-0.111-0.032045%-0.15

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.070.070.040.03-0.00866%0.0700.001694%0.09
John Crotty00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jelani McCoy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Vin Baker0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.021259%0.063-0.09837%-0.06
Olden Polynice0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01922%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Don MacLean0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.0110%-0.072-0.0440%-0.05
Dale Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.01928%-0.091-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.09-0.060.032452%0.026-0.20862%-0.04
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.14-0.10-0.01828%-0.134-0.102100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game64.61.829.116.729.01.843.4186.4
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +36.7%
SEA -5.6%
LAL +5.3%
LAL +13.9%
SEA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALSEANBALALSEANBA
this game15.115.415.896.888.499.6
season14.915.4104.7102.4
opponent15.915.8103.5102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.015.015.016.315.1
SEA19.615.017.011.015.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Rice60630.72-0.220.930.2217-102714.715.7-0.9915.215.7-0.43
Derek Fisher68700.66-0.160.830.1418-112914.217.6-3.4215.215.9-0.69
Kobe Bryant85850.55-0.050.590.289-21115.214.30.8515.414.70.75
Shaquille O'Neal78760.500.000.500.239-21115.015.4-0.4016.411.44.93
J.R. Reid33330.250.25-0.00-0.019-21115.614.80.7717.314.42.92
Robert Horry48490.100.40-0.290.13-18-915.314.90.4614.616.2-1.52
Rick Fox5959-0.060.56-0.620.26-1118-2914.316.5-2.2914.417.0-2.63
Derek Harper2726-0.210.71-0.920.17-1320-3317.014.32.7115.515.30.18

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jelani McCoy14140.02-0.520.55-0.094-111516.215.20.9918.114.63.57
John Crotty42-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-656.515.8-9.261.515.4-13.90
Don MacLean1616-0.09-0.410.320.09-6-1-519.714.55.2715.015.1-0.13
Vin Baker7072-0.12-0.380.27-0.358-152315.415.20.1716.410.75.72
Dale Ellis6566-0.23-0.270.03-0.354-111515.016.2-1.2215.414.41.02
Detlef Schrempf7675-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.22-92-1114.618.5-3.9514.915.8-0.86
Hersey Hawkins9088-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.29-70-715.316.2-0.8814.621.8-7.19
Gary Payton9594-0.500.00-0.50-0.29-70-715.40.015.3715.10.015.11
Olden Polynice3938-0.640.14-0.780.03-2316-3917.713.74.0314.715.4-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 106, CHI 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.29,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.08,093.5%
BOS 106, CHH 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.02,092.3%
DET 105, MIL 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.39,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,092.1%