NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	123		Excitement	4.2 [1003]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): +25.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	3.1 [136]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -8.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.25	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25	0.10	0.05	-0.10	28	55%	0.29	2	-0.04	13	62%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	7	106%	0.19	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	90%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	18	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.03	0.04	9	89%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	10	58%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	-0.02	0.09	25	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	22	39%	-0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	21.7	14.7	29.6	2.4	27.6	120.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +45.1%

NOP +8.3%

NOP +0.1%

POR -4.9%

NOP +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.7	120.6	112.6	107.5
season	13.6	15.2		108.0	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		105.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.4	11.5	13.6	14.3	13.5
POR	13.8	18.5	15.9	11.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	59	59	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-8	23	13.9	13.0	0.92	14.5	14.7	-0.13
E'Twaun Moore	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	1	5	13.3	14.2	-0.86	14.0	16.3	-2.31
Jrue Holiday	82	83	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	5	-3	13.6	13.1	0.51	13.6	18.5	-4.92
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	2	3	13.2	14.4	-1.27	14.4	15.1	-0.77
Dante Cunningham	30	31	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.04	7	0	7	13.4	13.6	-0.20	14.8	14.5	0.32
Darius Miller	72	72	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	13.6	13.4	0.20	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Omer Asik	27	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	14.4	13.2	1.27	15.1	14.4	0.77
Tony Allen	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	9	-11	12.6	14.0	-1.40	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Ian Clark	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	2	3	12.4	13.7	-1.29	20.6	13.7	6.90
Jameer Nelson	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	12	-17	14.4	13.0	1.41	16.1	13.7	2.45

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	11	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-2	-3	15.9	14.4	1.49	10.5	13.9	-3.32
Ed Davis	15	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	0	-7	19.4	13.8	5.64	12.5	13.7	-1.14
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.19	3	-10	13	15.8	13.4	2.37	14.9	12.1	2.75
Shabazz Napier	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.29	6	-13	19	13.5	15.7	-2.13	14.2	12.7	1.51
Meyers Leonard	38	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-9	11	13.1	15.5	-2.38	12.1	14.3	-2.20
Evan Turner	49	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	15.8	13.5	2.28	13.7	13.4	0.28
Jusuf Nurkic	50	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	14.3	14.9	-0.59	14.8	12.2	2.59
Noah Vonleh	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	2	-11	14.8	14.5	0.31	13.2	13.6	-0.47
CJ McCollum	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-5	3	14.3	15.3	-0.97	13.7	13.1	0.60
Pat Connaughton	57	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	2	-11	14.4	14.8	-0.48	12.0	15.4	-3.42
Damian Lillard	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	0	-7	14.0	17.9	-3.97	13.5	13.5	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 98, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
IND 108, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%