NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	124		Excitement	9.4 [106]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +38.4%
Charlotte Hornets	129		Comeback	52.8 [27]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -6.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	7	93%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	26	53%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.01	9	45%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.01	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Frazier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.07	0.03	0.02	22	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.00	0.38	-0.00	22	48%	0.44	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.19
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.11	0.03	13	72%	0.26	2	-0.06	10	60%	-0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.02	-0.00	17	65%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	79%	0.18	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	11	52%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.01	7	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.2	14.4	29.5	2.5	34.2	2.5	14.4	151.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +11.5%

CHA +34.7%

CHA +14.3%

CHA +0.3%

WAS -10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	13.9	14.7	112.7	117.3	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.5	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.2	14.3	16.2	15.0	12.8	15.0
CHA	14.2	15.0	12.1	14.3	14.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	28	29	0.55	-1.05	1.60	0.17	13	-18	31	14.7	15.1	-0.35	14.7	13.7	0.98
Mike Scott	39	40	0.43	-0.93	1.37	0.29	5	-10	15	13.9	15.6	-1.71	14.2	13.8	0.41
Ian Mahinmi	32	34	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.24	6	-11	17	14.0	15.4	-1.42	14.5	13.7	0.86
Kelly Oubre Jr.	46	48	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.28	-1	-4	3	14.9	15.0	-0.07	14.5	13.5	1.04
Tim Frazier	24	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	-2	-1	14.1	15.2	-1.14	15.4	13.5	1.84
John Wall	86	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-3	1	15.2	14.1	1.14	13.5	15.4	-1.84
Otto Porter Jr.	59	58	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.60	-10	5	-15	15.0	14.9	0.06	13.4	14.5	-1.03
Bradley Beal	87	85	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.56	-12	7	-19	15.1	14.7	0.41	13.7	14.8	-1.07
Marcin Gortat	78	76	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.59	-11	6	-17	15.4	14.0	1.42	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Markieff Morris	71	70	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.64	-10	5	-15	15.6	13.9	1.71	13.8	14.2	-0.41

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	80	79	1.18	-0.68	1.86	0.42	26	-21	47	13.6	14.8	-1.14	14.9	15.1	-0.13
Marvin Williams	63	63	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.53	17	-12	29	13.5	14.5	-0.93	15.5	14.2	1.29
Kemba Walker	84	84	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-1	7	13.4	15.7	-2.35	15.2	14.1	1.17
Dwight Howard	76	77	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	4	-3	13.7	14.5	-0.77	15.5	13.8	1.65
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	75	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-6	17	14.0	13.9	0.07	15.5	13.8	1.71
Cody Zeller	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	1	3	14.5	13.7	0.77	13.8	15.5	-1.65
Frank Kaminsky	47	49	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	13	-21	14.5	13.5	0.93	13.9	15.9	-1.97
Dwayne Bacon	26	26	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.17	-4	9	-13	14.7	13.7	0.99	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Nicolas Batum	27	28	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	18	-31	15.1	13.6	1.56	15.4	14.8	0.56
Michael Carter-Williams	38	38	-0.55	1.05	-1.60	-0.11	-15	20	-35	14.4	13.7	0.74	14.1	15.5	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.96,1	88.7%
POR 95, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.71,0.73,1	87.7%
PHX 98, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	87.6%