NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	10.6 [46]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +51.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	18.5 [77]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -21.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.52	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.67,0.52	0.09	0.44	0.00	15	69%	0.56	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.15
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	53%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.11	-0.05	10	68%	0.23	4	-0.29	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	5	33%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	6	58%	-0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.08	0.18	-0.03	19	67%	0.36	4	-0.07	11	82%	0.11
Devean George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.16	-0.03	18	58%	0.28	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	10	70%	0.21	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	9	50%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	9	35%	-0.15	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.05
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	30.0	15.8	23.5	1.8	42.8	2.0	14.9	158.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -16.0%

LAL +1.7%

LAL +36.1%

LAL +27.9%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.8	16.1	15.5	97.9	102.1	101.6
season	16.0	15.4		104.3	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		102.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	16.1	18.2	15.5	18.6	14.3	16.8
LAL	15.9	15.2	18.1	15.0	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	65	62	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.05	8	-11	19	17.0	16.4	0.55	17.2	14.1	3.09
Jeff McInnis	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	2	-7	19.1	15.9	3.24	14.1	16.9	-2.78
Damon Stoudamire	68	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-7	11	16.0	18.6	-2.54	16.6	14.9	1.70
Scottie Pippen	48	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	5	-13	17.5	16.1	1.34	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Antonio Daniels	16	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-1	-1	17.6	16.6	0.98	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Rasheed Wallace	61	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	0	-3	16.4	17.6	-1.19	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Derek Anderson	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.52	4	-7	11	16.6	17.2	-0.52	16.7	14.7	2.02
Bonzi Wells	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	5	-13	16.2	18.1	-1.92	16.2	15.9	0.31
Ruben Patterson	65	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.43	-5	2	-7	16.9	16.6	0.36	15.8	16.7	-0.91

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	86	86	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.42	12	-9	21	16.2	16.1	0.05	16.5	19.1	-2.58
Derek Fisher	80	82	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.45	9	-6	15	16.1	16.2	-0.12	16.0	21.3	-5.36
Devean George	86	87	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-4	11	16.2	15.6	0.61	16.4	20.2	-3.79
Kobe Bryant	93	93	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	15.9	23.0	-7.08	16.8	16.7	0.06
Brian Shaw	39	37	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	1	1	16.0	16.3	-0.29	17.4	16.5	0.88
Tracy Murray	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	4	-5	15.1	16.2	-1.08	19.7	16.6	3.14
Samaki Walker	49	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	8	-13	15.9	16.4	-0.55	17.1	16.5	0.55
Slava Medvedenko	23	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	11	-19	17.7	15.6	2.10	16.8	16.8	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	17	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	11	-19	16.5	16.1	0.47	21.1	15.9	5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.71,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 110, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	91.0%
NOK 102, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.28,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.91,0.99,1	89.9%
DET 83, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.73,1	89.8%