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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 102 Excitement8.9 [154] MVPP.J. Brown (NOK): +34.5%
Miami Heat 109 Comeback31.9 [58] LVPDavid West (NOK): -19.6%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0.340,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.160.190.001671%0.381-0.032100%0.01
Chris Andersen0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.020.090.00564%0.171-0.05425%-0.05
Jackson Vroman-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.000.00117%-0.0200.00425%-0.04
Kirk Snyder-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.010.01650%0.011-0.042100%0.01
Chris Paul-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.010.021348%0.032-0.05786%0.04
Speedy Claxton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.05-0.021250%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.030.00520%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.010.021246%0.013-0.09250%-0.01
Desmond Mason-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.10-0.08-0.00719%-0.161-0.03250%-0.01
David West-0.200,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2-0.00-0.190.011647%-0.171-0.032100%0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.240.080.15-0.011758%0.261-0.022100%0.02
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.080.00582%0.1600.001100%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.120.120.030.090.00475%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.030.001461%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.060.060.020.070.03656%0.081-0.024100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.040.01756%-0.011-0.034100%0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.020.001055%0.063-0.112100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.27,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.36,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.06-0.030.072144%-0.063-0.101573%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.82.528.614.822.42.433.52.416.4148.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +57.7%
MIA +3.6%
NOK -18.4%
MIA +11.9%
NOK -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKMIANBANOKMIANBA
this game15.016.715.6103.0107.9104.4
season16.315.5101.2106.1
opponent15.515.3102.3104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOK15.914.313.117.614.415.0
MIA15.417.017.717.615.516.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen32310.27-0.771.040.241-8916.214.51.7416.816.70.05
Jackson Vroman13130.08-0.580.67-0.065-121712.715.4-2.7016.416.8-0.41
Kirk Snyder23240.04-0.540.58-0.022-91114.015.4-1.3617.716.51.21
Bostjan Nachbar4648-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-3-114.215.8-1.5816.017.4-1.42
Rasual Butler3128-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-114-1516.314.51.8714.717.5-2.81
Chris Paul8286-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.28-2-5314.716.7-2.0116.716.9-0.22
Desmond Mason5353-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.31-3-4115.814.21.5817.416.01.42
Speedy Claxton6264-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-4115.214.70.5417.315.71.60
P.J. Brown7983-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.31-5-2-314.816.0-1.2016.816.60.23
David West7475-0.900.40-1.30-0.46-158-2315.214.60.6416.716.70.02

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alonzo Mourning68650.95-0.451.400.5414-72116.517.3-0.7915.614.01.63
James Posey45450.69-0.190.880.4870716.017.3-1.2614.815.2-0.40
Dwyane Wade89860.63-0.130.760.2812-51716.220.6-4.3615.313.61.64
Gary Payton66640.55-0.050.600.3761517.615.22.4015.314.60.73
Udonis Haslem77760.370.130.240.2252316.816.60.1514.915.3-0.40
Jason Kapono2524-0.080.58-0.67-0.2352318.916.02.8416.714.52.20
Antoine Walker5757-0.320.82-1.14-0.17-512-1717.016.40.5914.515.7-1.21
Jason Williams5555-0.350.85-1.200.00-1219-3116.716.8-0.0313.517.0-3.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.28,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.91,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 95, LAL 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.23,0.54,0.69,0.92,0.71,0.73,189.9%
HOU 107, DET 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.95,189.1%
POR 103, UTA 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.07,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.76,0.85,0.93,0.96,188.7%