NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	10.9 [33]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): +24.9%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	13.9 [132]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -24.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Noah Vonleh	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	3	56%	0.09	1	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Maurice Harkless	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.12,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.03	-0.04	27	56%	0.27	5	-0.23	5	100%	0.05
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	18	47%	-0.08	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.10
CJ McCollum	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	20	37%	-0.01	6	-0.20	3	67%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.00	9	59%	0.30	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.16	-0.00	10	60%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	0.00	3	100%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.02	21	57%	0.21	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.05	-0.01	11	0%	-0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,-0.09,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.31,-0.29,-0.24	-0.24	0.10	-0.31	0.03	17	67%	0.12	4	-0.36	11	100%	0.06
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	10	35%	-0.09	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	1.6	32.2	14.7	27.2	2.5	31.3	2.5	18.4	153.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +16.2%

UTA +22.3%

UTA +24.4%

POR -15.9%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	13.8	14.7	94.5	99.1	107.5
season	15.2	15.1		107.8	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.3		103.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	14.0	14.4	15.5	15.9	14.4	14.9
UTA	14.8	13.3	14.5	13.6	11.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	62	62	0.61	-1.11	1.71	0.20	14	-23	37	14.7	15.0	-0.33	15.7	11.5	4.20
Noah Vonleh	27	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-1	-7	14.9	14.9	-0.00	12.2	14.4	-2.28
Damian Lillard	88	89	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-10	11	14.8	15.2	-0.42	14.2	12.5	1.67
Ed Davis	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	0	-9	16.2	14.2	2.09	13.1	14.2	-1.09
Jusuf Nurkic	72	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-11	13	14.2	16.0	-1.78	14.4	12.8	1.56
CJ McCollum	88	93	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-11	13	14.1	17.9	-3.78	13.8	13.8	-0.04
Pat Connaughton	37	41	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.02	-20	11	-31	16.5	14.0	2.55	12.3	14.7	-2.31
Maurice Harkless	59	58	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	-3	-3	14.1	15.7	-1.56	14.4	13.2	1.27
Evan Turner	76	80	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.15	-21	12	-33	15.6	13.2	2.31	12.7	16.4	-3.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	62	58	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.33	24	-15	39	12.6	15.3	-2.63	15.2	14.5	0.68
Donovan Mitchell	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-5	19	13.5	14.4	-0.98	15.6	13.4	2.20
Ricky Rubio	81	77	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	5	-1	13.7	14.2	-0.52	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Jonas Jerebko	40	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	-8	25	13.9	13.8	0.17	17.0	13.6	3.43
Rudy Gobert	82	79	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	9	-9	13.8	13.8	0.06	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Joe Ingles	75	74	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	13	-17	14.1	13.3	0.75	14.5	15.5	-0.97
Alec Burks	28	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	5	-1	14.3	13.7	0.63	16.6	14.3	2.31
Ekpe Udoh	21	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	8	-7	13.0	14.0	-1.06	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Rodney Hood	44	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	13	-17	14.4	13.5	0.90	13.8	15.5	-1.78
Derrick Favors	59	56	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	20	-31	14.9	12.6	2.38	13.9	15.8	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.07,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.76,0.85,0.93,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 116, BOS 123	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.57,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.05,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	90.3%
LAC 109, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	89.3%
DET 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	89.1%