inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 99 Excitement4.6 [923] MVPPaul George (OKC): +11.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 112 Comeback1.5 [1190] LVPWesley Matthews (DAL): -15.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Powell0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.02585%0.102-0.05367%-0.01
Harrison Barnes0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.020.051473%0.144-0.092100%0.01
Yogi Ferrell0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.13-0.010.09986%0.052-0.023100%0.01
Gian Clavell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00362%0.0010.002100%0.00
Nerlens Noel0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Withey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.01550%0.032-0.0400%0.00
J.J. Barea-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.021041%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01733%-0.0300.001100%0.01
Salah Mejri-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.01350%0.012-0.0520%-0.03
Dennis Smith Jr.-0.110,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.100.040.051743%0.035-0.141100%0.07
Wesley Matthews-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.18-0.03-0.0695%-0.152-0.00250%-0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.200.020.112274%0.143-0.026100%0.02
Josh Huestis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.03764%0.101-0.0300%0.00
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01570%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.01659%0.082-0.03580%-0.00
Dakari Johnson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01283%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrance Ferguson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00175%0.0010.00250%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01650%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.021855%0.094-0.111392%0.03
Andre Roberson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.01237%-0.011-0.01425%-0.03
Alex Abrines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.04275%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.41.026.414.833.21.831.8133.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +29.0%
OKC +8.6%
DAL -0.4%
OKC +11.2%
OKC +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game15.113.314.798.0109.8107.5
season15.414.2105.3109.4
opponent15.314.3106.1108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.416.915.313.915.1
OKC13.314.411.414.313.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nerlens Noel560.00-0.500.50-0.093-16198.615.4-6.8212.813.3-0.50
Jeff Withey89-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-15179.515.6-6.0614.613.21.37
Maxi Kleber1819-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-202711.615.8-4.2914.613.01.63
Dorian Finney-Smith2524-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-131315.415.00.4813.713.20.47
Gian Clavell1817-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-121113.515.4-1.9214.413.11.33
Salah Mejri2524-0.06-0.440.39-0.122-151714.715.2-0.5313.213.3-0.07
Dwight Powell3736-0.12-0.380.260.14-9-4-516.614.22.4314.112.91.25
J.J. Barea3839-0.14-0.360.21-0.05-3-10716.414.32.1514.212.71.46
Yogi Ferrell7476-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.17-4-9514.516.6-2.1213.014.3-1.35
Harrison Barnes7575-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-7-6-114.815.8-0.9312.814.6-1.80
Wesley Matthews7071-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-185-2315.414.31.1813.113.8-0.68
Dirk Nowitzki4042-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-196-2517.013.83.1812.813.6-0.80
Dennis Smith Jr.7272-0.530.03-0.56-0.00-185-2315.314.40.9312.914.2-1.32

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul George88870.54-0.040.58-0.0520-72713.313.4-0.1415.611.83.82
Josh Huestis46460.480.020.470.0714-11512.613.9-1.2715.914.41.57
Russell Westbrook70680.480.020.460.0714-11513.113.7-0.5115.115.00.16
Patrick Patterson49500.440.060.380.061301314.012.71.3016.413.82.54
Andre Roberson64640.240.26-0.020.0376112.614.5-1.8614.017.0-3.03
Jerami Grant75720.190.31-0.11-0.191301313.113.9-0.8015.115.00.16
Dakari Johnson36370.150.35-0.200.15013-1313.713.10.6514.415.5-1.02
Raymond Felton40390.010.49-0.480.16-518-2314.512.52.0114.715.3-0.67
Kyle Singler660.000.50-0.500.15-518-2312.813.3-0.509.315.4-6.11
Terrance Ferguson660.000.50-0.500.15-518-2312.813.3-0.509.315.4-6.11
Alex Abrines3030-0.030.53-0.57-0.00-114-1513.813.10.6615.914.71.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 77, LAL 1050.5,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
LAC 95, LAL 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
DET 75, PHI 950.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%