inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 96 Excitement6.0 [650] MVPAl Horford (BOS): +29.3%
Milwaukee Bucks 89 Comeback2.4 [310] LVPGreg Monroe (MIL): -5.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0.290,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.170.120.001493%0.404-0.111100%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.011863%0.142-0.062100%0.01
Jayson Tatum0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.00671%0.112-0.025100%0.02
Jaylen Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.070.05-0.051035%0.051-0.02650%-0.04
Aron Baynes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00667%0.082-0.056100%0.04
Terry Rozier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.03-0.02922%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Semi Ojeleye-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Daniel Theis-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.01-0.011036%-0.002-0.042100%0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Snell0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.01-0.03779%0.0810.0300%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,00.000.010.010.021256%0.052-0.05333%-0.03
Thon Maker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.030.052157%0.093-0.10786%0.02
Mirza Teletovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.02-0.02530%0.022-0.0400%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
John Henson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00050%-0.001-0.03250%-0.01
Khris Middleton0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011647%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.030.00462%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00850%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.53.326.416.425.91.828.2131.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +27.5%
BOS +11.8%
BOS +4.8%
BOS +5.0%
BOS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game16.412.614.797.089.9107.5
season15.114.3106.4108.5
opponent15.414.7108.9103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.117.916.019.016.4
MIL14.312.811.112.012.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aron Baynes49440.63-0.130.760.2812-51716.915.91.0412.612.6-0.03
Marcus Smart54510.56-0.060.620.3670717.814.82.9612.812.40.41
Jayson Tatum60600.310.190.120.088-1915.018.6-3.5512.612.7-0.10
Jaylen Brown70710.270.230.050.1352316.516.20.2412.213.6-1.40
Terry Rozier46450.250.25-0.000.2216-515.417.3-1.8312.212.9-0.66
Kyrie Irving67710.230.27-0.040.1143117.214.72.5512.911.81.09
Al Horford69710.200.30-0.100.1425-317.015.01.9812.812.00.85
Semi Ojeleye31300.170.33-0.170.23-29-1115.916.7-0.7911.912.9-0.97
Shane Larkin1211-0.040.54-0.580.05-310-1314.216.7-2.4611.512.7-1.19
Daniel Theis3741-0.080.58-0.67-0.1116-515.616.9-1.2213.312.11.26

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Henson29290.00-0.500.50-0.207-142112.812.50.2220.514.75.75
Malcolm Brogdon7171-0.07-0.430.37-0.153-101312.512.8-0.2517.414.03.37
Mirza Teletovic3738-0.19-0.310.13-0.190-7711.713.2-1.4915.117.3-2.21
Thon Maker3331-0.19-0.310.120.13-114-1513.512.21.2713.817.6-3.84
Khris Middleton7169-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-4112.612.60.0517.015.11.93
Greg Monroe3639-0.23-0.270.03-0.20-1-6512.112.9-0.8715.517.0-1.53
Tony Snell4951-0.24-0.260.01-0.22-1-6512.312.9-0.5517.814.92.95
DeAndre Liggins3534-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.09-81-913.412.21.1814.417.5-3.09
Matthew Dellavedova4748-0.520.02-0.53-0.19-114-1512.512.7-0.2214.917.8-2.87
Giannis Antetokounmpo8785-0.530.03-0.56-0.24-103-1312.811.11.7316.515.60.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 110, PHI 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,093.2%
MIN 97, CHH 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,093.1%
CLE 115, TOR 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.1%