NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	110		Excitement	6.0 [621]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +27.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	3.9 [185]		LVP	Chris Webber (PHI): -13.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	6	85%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.07	0.05	12	76%	0.20	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	10	70%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	11	77%	0.19	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.03
Gordan Giricek	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.02	11	67%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Robert Whaley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	9%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.29	0.05	0.07	25	69%	0.33	2	-0.06	17	76%	-0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	4	100%	0.09	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	41%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	19	47%	-0.02	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	29.6	14.7	30.0	2.0	39.0	141.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.5%

PHI -7.0%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +8.0%

PHI -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	14.5	15.6	119.6	109.7	104.4
season	17.0	15.2		101.7	104.1
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	16.3	16.2	15.9	16.6
PHI	15.4	13.7	15.1	14.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	52	53	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	0	8	16.4	16.8	-0.40	13.9	15.3	-1.41
Gordan Giricek	70	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	0	8	16.5	16.8	-0.29	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Matt Harpring	57	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	2	4	15.8	17.9	-2.17	13.6	16.1	-2.56
Mehmet Okur	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	1	6	17.0	15.1	1.88	13.9	17.2	-3.28
Greg Ostertag	32	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	3	2	15.9	17.0	-1.06	15.8	13.9	1.88
Andrei Kirilenko	81	81	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	8	-8	17.0	13.4	3.67	15.1	10.7	4.46
Jarron Collins	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	1	6	17.2	16.3	0.86	15.6	14.0	1.59
Deron Williams	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	6	-4	13.2	17.4	-4.20	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Robert Whaley	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	4.0	16.7	-12.74	0.0	14.7	-14.71
Devin Brown	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	16.8	16.5	0.29	14.9	14.4	0.47
Keith McLeod	23	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.07	-2	10	-12	19.5	15.6	3.90	16.7	13.8	2.86

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	12.6	14.7	-2.10	18.4	16.4	1.95
Lou Williams	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	9.0	14.6	-5.61	9.0	16.7	-7.68
Chris Webber	76	76	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-14	20	14.6	14.5	0.10	16.7	16.1	0.57
Steven Hunter	11	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-2	-4	12.1	14.9	-2.79	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Matt Barnes	6	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	16.7	14.4	2.26	14.3	16.8	-2.50
Andre Iguodala	82	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-8	8	14.2	17.3	-3.09	16.9	14.7	2.12
Samuel Dalembert	79	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-5	2	14.9	12.6	2.24	17.6	12.1	5.50
Shavlik Randolph	9	9	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	2	-12	14.9	14.5	0.38	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Kyle Korver	81	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-5	2	15.0	11.7	3.21	16.7	15.6	1.12
John Salmons	27	27	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	5	-18	14.0	14.8	-0.77	14.3	17.6	-3.31
Allen Iverson	85	84	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	3	-14	14.7	12.6	2.10	16.4	18.4	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.1%
MIA 125, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.02,0,0.05,0	93.5%
BOS 96, MIL 89	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.16,0.18,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.2%