inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 125 Excitement6.6 [505] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +46.1%
Houston Rockets 119 Comeback3.5 [534] LVPShane Battier (HOU): -5.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.460,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.460.260.18-0.022478%0.596-0.1310100%0.06
Mario Chalmers0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.06-0.01289%0.131-0.005100%0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.01747%0.0700.001100%0.01
James Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0.040,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.010.02585%0.081-0.043100%0.01
Joel Anthony0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.030.020.000.00067%0.0300.00667%0.01
Chris Bosh0.020,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.02-0.011462%0.165-0.14683%0.01
LeBron James0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.020.010.01-0.001559%0.113-0.084100%0.02
Erick Dampier0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00150%0.0100.002100%0.01
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.130.130.090.050.011359%0.1300.008100%0.07
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.020.01665%0.0800.00887%0.03
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.050.05-0.00-0.00-0.051650%0.073-0.031060%-0.03
Chase Budinger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.08-0.010.03869%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00550%0.0400.00683%0.01
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01743%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.050.002052%0.041-0.052100%0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00325%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03-0.030.05-0.030.06669%0.001-0.03450%-0.03
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.02928%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.529.416.322.52.346.3146.6
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +77.7%
MIA +11.3%
HOU -15.5%
HOU -25.7%
MIA +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAHOUNBAMIAHOUNBA
this game14.513.815.5123.8116.7105.7
season16.015.2109.0109.5
opponent14.915.6107.5102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.315.215.912.214.5
HOU12.314.216.113.113.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James83840.67-0.170.850.1518-123014.016.8-2.8014.013.10.96
Juwan Howard19190.60-0.100.70-0.0522-163812.315.0-2.7316.713.23.56
Mario Chalmers52530.380.120.260.2933013.715.4-1.7013.614.1-0.50
Dwyane Wade80800.320.180.130.2624-214.315.3-1.0113.913.60.32
Joel Anthony49490.290.210.070.31-17-812.516.5-4.0113.813.9-0.17
James Jones27280.280.220.060.1933014.814.40.3313.014.2-1.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas37370.190.31-0.12-0.017-1815.713.81.8914.913.21.65
Carlos Arroyo48470.090.41-0.32-0.0033015.613.62.0014.613.21.36
Erick Dampier15160.020.48-0.450.0206-618.313.94.4611.714.2-2.56
Chris Bosh8283-0.100.60-0.700.37-1622-3815.012.32.7313.216.7-3.56
Mike Miller1314-0.240.74-0.970.09-1117-2817.914.03.8912.614.0-1.47

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chase Budinger32320.11-0.610.72-0.3014-203414.113.70.4115.714.01.73
Courtney Lee31310.01-0.510.53-0.104-101414.013.80.2315.514.11.46
Kyle Lowry5352-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-101413.314.5-1.2113.915.2-1.38
Brad Miller3534-0.09-0.410.31-0.090-6614.013.70.2815.414.11.37
Charles Hayes5050-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-60-614.113.60.4315.513.61.91
Jordan Hill4342-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.14-60-614.613.31.3614.514.50.02
Luis Scola6767-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.23-60-613.714.0-0.2814.115.4-1.37
Kevin Martin6868-0.500.00-0.51-0.18-115-1613.913.70.2113.915.8-1.95
Shane Battier7473-0.530.03-0.57-0.21-115-1613.415.0-1.5914.015.8-1.78
Aaron Brooks5756-0.550.05-0.61-0.20-126-1813.813.8-0.0014.514.6-0.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.02,0,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 92, CHA 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,093.8%
UTA 110, PHI 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,093.5%
CHI 113, MIL 1040.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.7,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.48,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,093.3%