NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	6.1 [584]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +21.5%
Charlotte Hornets	92		Comeback	2.6 [524]		LVP	Marc Jackson (MIN): -15.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.13	-0.02	17	62%	0.25	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Joe Smith	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.03	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	9	78%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	16	52%	0.06	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	12%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.15	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	70%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	15	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	12	53%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.4	24.3	15.7	24.0	2.5	32.2	122.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.5%

MIN +2.3%

MIN +40.8%

CHH -17.5%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHH	NBA	MIN	CHH	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.6	110.2	107.0	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		106.7	102.2
opponent	15.6	16.1		101.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.7	18.1	16.7	15.7	17.3
CHH	14.7	14.6	18.5	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	83	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-3	11	17.1	20.8	-3.72	16.0	13.0	2.96
Kevin Garnett	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	-1	7	17.3	17.1	0.20	15.8	15.8	0.01
Joe Smith	66	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	3	-1	17.6	16.4	1.18	15.3	17.2	-1.85
Marc Jackson	40	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	0	5	16.9	17.6	-0.73	16.3	15.4	0.90
William Avery	30	29	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	1	3	16.0	17.9	-1.91	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Rasho Nesterovic	56	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	4	-3	17.7	16.5	1.20	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Chauncey Billups	58	57	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	17.9	16.0	1.91	15.9	15.6	0.31
Sam Mitchell	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	16.7	17.3	-0.63	16.3	15.7	0.54
Anthony Peeler	24	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	7	-9	16.8	17.5	-0.64	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Loren Woods	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	6	-7	18.0	17.3	0.73	18.5	15.7	2.77

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	21	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.2	-1.49	18.7	16.8	1.91
Bryce Drew	61	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	16.0	15.3	0.72	17.2	17.4	-0.20
George Lynch	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	1	-7	15.6	16.0	-0.41	17.0	17.7	-0.68
Jamaal Magloire	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-7	9	15.6	16.0	-0.43	17.0	17.6	-0.53
Stacey Augmon	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	16.6	15.4	1.25	16.2	17.8	-1.59
P.J. Brown	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	1	-7	16.3	15.1	1.24	17.7	16.7	0.92
Lee Nailon	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-7	9	15.3	16.5	-1.22	17.7	16.6	1.11
Elden Campbell	62	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.7	16.0	-0.23	17.2	17.7	-0.51
Jamal Mashburn	64	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	15.9	15.4	0.51	17.2	17.5	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.3%
ORL 109, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MEM 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.1%