NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	5.6 [552]		MVP	Ben Gordon (DET): +20.8%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	2.3 [126]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (BOS): -8.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.11	0.01	15	69%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	-0.01	14	79%	0.25	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	16	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.06
Will Bynum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Knight	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	27	56%	0.20	2	-0.04	9	44%	-0.05
Chris Wilcox	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	12	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	36%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Avery Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaJuan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	11	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	53%	-0.00	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.0	30.5	15.8	24.2	1.8	33.3	137.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +34.4%

DET +13.5%

DET +19.1%

BOS -14.4%

BOS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	BOS	NBA	DET	BOS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.2	15.6	111.4	98.9	102.8
season	16.3	15.5		99.5	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.4		97.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.6	19.0	18.3	18.1	17.3
BOS	13.6	14.6	18.6	14.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	51	52	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.16	16	-6	22	17.3	17.3	-0.01	15.9	14.3	1.56
Greg Monroe	66	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-1	12	17.0	18.3	-1.27	15.2	15.2	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	2	6	17.2	17.6	-0.37	15.7	14.5	1.20
Tayshaun Prince	68	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	17.3	17.5	-0.24	14.8	16.8	-2.08
Ben Wallace	26	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	9	-8	18.7	16.7	1.95	16.6	14.6	2.00
Brandon Knight	37	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	5	0	15.6	18.6	-3.02	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Damien Wilkins	24	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	7	-4	18.0	17.0	0.99	15.5	15.2	0.30
Rodney Stuckey	67	67	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	10	-10	17.8	15.9	1.86	14.9	16.4	-1.56
Will Bynum	8	9	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	9	-8	18.6	17.2	1.44	12.2	15.6	-3.35
Jonas Jerebko	15	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	10	-10	16.3	17.5	-1.19	15.5	15.2	0.32
Walker Russell	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	11	-12	18.3	17.1	1.28	15.0	15.3	-0.29

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	40	41	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-15	20	14.5	15.9	-1.38	17.9	16.8	1.05
Chris Wilcox	60	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-10	10	15.4	14.9	0.55	16.7	18.5	-1.79
Ray Allen	61	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-11	12	14.3	17.2	-2.83	17.2	17.7	-0.53
Rajon Rondo	74	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-8	6	14.8	17.6	-2.84	17.4	16.8	0.62
Keyon Dooling	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-2	-6	16.1	14.9	1.20	16.9	17.5	-0.56
Mickael Pietrus	30	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	14.9	15.4	-0.46	17.3	17.3	-0.01
Avery Bradley	15	15	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	17.6	14.8	2.84	16.8	17.4	-0.62
Paul Pierce	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-6	2	14.9	16.5	-1.63	17.8	15.5	2.35
Greg Stiemsma	22	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	0	-10	17.0	14.6	2.40	17.6	17.2	0.42
JaJuan Johnson	47	44	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	5	-20	16.2	14.1	2.07	17.1	17.5	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, CHH 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.38,0.25,0.33,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.3%
ORL 109, SAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
SEA 101, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.45,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%